LiontipsParma vs Lecce. Prediction (odds 3.95) and bets on the Serie A match
Command Analysis
Current form
Parma approached the start of the season as a clear candidate for relegation from Serie A, inferior in the selection of players to many competitors. The Crusaders did not fail a serious transfer campaign in the summer and relied largely on the players with whom they earned a ticket to the elite last season, only selectively strengthening a few positions. In the winter, apart from the purchase of Milan Djuric, no attempts were made to strengthen the squad at all.
Parma had an expectedly difficult start, but played several bright matches and scored the necessary number of points to avoid getting stuck in the relegation zone right away. They failed to make a serious breakthrough into the middle of the table, the Crusaders are balancing on the edge of the abyss, but due to the opponent crisis, as well as bright play at home, they are still staying out of the relegation zone and do not look like hopeless outsiders.
Parma are approaching the start of the 23rd round in 16th place in the table with 20 points and only due to additional indicators are they breaking away from the relegation zone – there is a risk of ending up there already at the end of the upcoming round. In the last match of the championship, Parma gave Milan a fight away and was very close to taking all three points from San Siro, but in the end they conceded twice in stoppage time and were left with nothing.
Disqualifications and injuries
Del Prato is disqualified. Injured: Kowalski, Chirkati, Bernabe, Osorio, Esteves, Balogh, Charpentier.
Interesting trends for betting
- Parma have not won in their last four matches – two defeats and two draws
- Parma have scored in their last five home games
- Parma have not lost to Lecce in their last three matches - one win and two draws
Tentative line-up: Suzuki - Aino, Valenti, Vogliacco, Valerie - Keita, Som - Man, Hernani, Mihaila - Djuric.
Current form
Last season, Lecce quite confidently retained their place in Serie A, although they were considered one of the main candidates for relegation. The yellow-reds had the same status before the start of the current season, not being the main and hopeless outsiders, but they were among the candidates for relegation. In the summer, several experienced players were signed to replace those who left, but in the winter, key players are being taken away again - Patrick Dorgu is already one foot in Manchester United.
As expected, Lecce failed the opening period of the championship and got stuck in the danger zone for a long time, from which they have not been able to fully get out to this day. In an attempt to bring the team out of the crisis, the management changed the coach during the season and with the arrival of Marco Giampaolo, the yellow-reds played several bright matches, but recently they have again found themselves in decline.
Lecce are currently in 18th place in the table with 20 points, but their situation is far from hopeless – Verona and Parma are ahead only due to additional indicators. In the last round, the yellow-reds suffered a crushing 0:4 defeat to Inter at home, thus suffering their second defeat in a row and already the 12th this season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Banda, Gaspar, Marhvinski, Rafia and Berisha are injured.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lecce have lost their last two matches
- Lecce have scored in four of their last five away matches
- Lecce have conceded in eight of their last nine matches
Probable line-up: Falcone - Gilbert, Jean, Bascirotto, Gallo - Coulibaly, Pierre, Helgason - Pierotti, Krstovic, Morente.
Trends
Bet Exact score 3:1
Two of Parma last five home matches have ended with this score
16.50Parma to score in the second half
In Parma last two matches, this bet was successful
1.61Bet Lecce to score in the second half
In the last two matches between the clubs, this bet was successful
1.89Bet Total Second Half Over 1.5 Goals
In the last two matches between the clubs, this bet was successful
2.05Tip and bets
Parma looked very solid in the last round against Milan away and had every chance to take all three points, but they lacked class. The Crusaders play open attacking football even against more prestigious opponents at home, today they will clearly not change their style - their opponents are a direct competitor. It is unlikely that Lecce have a real chance to play to zero, in the last two matches the yellow-reds received six goals from Parma, and in general they are not particularly reliable in defense, but at the same time the guests will also take risks, the Apulians know how to improve in such important matches and are capable of responding.
We believe that there will be goals in the match. Betting Tip - both will score . This bet is offered with a coefficient of 1.69
Bet on the outcome
Parma, although on the brink of the abyss, does not look like a hopeless underdog either in terms of play or results, especially on its home field. Today, the hosts will undoubtedly strive only for victory and they are quite capable of achieving it - Lecce has not been in the best shape since the start of the season, and in the last rounds they have completely failed, losing 1:8 to Cagliari and Inter, it makes sense in such a situation to give preference to the hosts and count on their confident victory.
Bet - Parma win. This bet is offered for 2.15
Combined rate
Parma is the favorite of the match - at home this season the Crusaders have already presented unpleasant surprises to opponents, including the giants. Today opponents are Lecce in crisis and the hosts have everything to set themselves the maximum goals and take all three points. At the same time, the yellow-reds will also take risks in such an important match, there are high-level players ahead and it will be almost unrealistic for Parma to beat such an opponent without scoring.
Bet - Parma win and both teams to score. This bet is offered for 3.95
