LiontipsBellucci vs. Kovacevic. Prediction and bets on the ATP Montpellier match
Command Analysis
Current form
Bellucci beat Luc Pouille (6-4, 6-4) in the first round of the competition in Montpellier. Mattia served eight aces, converted two break points and did not lose a single game on his serve in the match against the Frenchman. The Italian has two wins in five matches this season.
Professional qualities
Bellucci has shown steady progress since last year. He has noticeably improved his delivery of the ball, as evidenced by the increase in the number of aces and the reduction in double faults, although his serve is still not a formidable weapon. In rallies, the Italian feels comfortable – he moves quickly, defends competently and knows how to counterattack. However, his shots remain soft, which can be a problem in matches against strong opponents.
Current indicators in the tour
Bellucci is currently ranked 98th in the world. The 23-year-old Italian has won nine trophies in his career. He won his last title in 2023, winning the outdoor hard court title in Cassis.
Interesting facts for betting
Bellucci last five matches have ended in straight sets.
Current form
Kovačević was stronger than David Goffin in the first round of the competition in Montpellier (6-2, 3-6, 6-4). Aleksandar served nine aces, converted three break points and lost two games on his serve. The American has ten wins and three losses this season.
Professional qualities
Kovacevic is a typical representative of the American school of tennis. The basis of his game is a quality serve, which allows him to dominate on a fast surface. In rallies, he acts aggressively: he has a strong forehand and a sharp one-handed backhand. However, he has virtually no defensive skills, which can be used by more patient opponents.
Current indicators in the tour
Kovacevic is ranked outside the top 100 in the world rankings, at 102nd place. Aleksandar has won five trophies in his career. This season, we recall, he won the indoor challenger in Oeiras.
Interesting facts for betting
Kovacevic has nine wins in ten matches indoors this season.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Bellucci last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.33Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Kovacevic 5 previous matches
2.02Tip and bets
Despite his higher rating, Bellucci is not the favorite in the upcoming match. On indoor hard courts, according to bookmakers, it is Kovacevic who has a clear advantage. However, we do not agree with this opinion. Mattia is a left-hander and the American with his one-handed backhand will have a very difficult time against the Italian.
Our prediction is Bellucci victory with odds of 2.15
Bet on total
Both tennis players are currently in approximately the same playing condition. Therefore, it is highly likely that the upcoming face-to-face match between them will be a struggle and will be drawn out.
The second betting tip is total over 23 games for odds of 1.98
Bet on the first set
Three of Kovacevic last five matches have seen the first set go over 9.5 games, and the upcoming match against Bellucci is likely to start with a similarly high first set.
Betting Tip - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.69
