Liontips
PSV vs Liverpool: Prediction and Betting Tips with Odds 3.10
In the final round of the Champions League on January 29, PSV will play Liverpool at home. The hosts need one point today to guarantee themselves a place in the playoffs. The visitors are going without losing points and will try to finish the tournament with the best result. What scenario will events on the field develop today and what bets should you choose? - the answer is in our betting tip. Also, the site star expert Dmitry Gradilenko shares his opinion on the game
Command Analysis
PSV Eindhoven
NetherlandsCurrent form
In the last round of the Champions League, PSV won an important away victory over Crvena Zvezda with a score of 3:2. Three points allowed Peter Bosz charges to rise with 11 points to 19th place in the table, which practically guarantees them a place in the playoffs. For complete confidence today, it is enough to play a draw. In the game against the Serbs, the red-and-whites were leading 3:0 after the first half, but the removal of Flamingo at the beginning of the second 45 minutes led to the opponent getting back two goals and almost taking away points. Undoubtedly, the loss of Flamingo is quite serious for not the most reliable defense, it will not be easy to fully replace him.
PSG were not stable throughout the tournament, but they managed to improve towards the end – three victories were registered in the last four rounds. At the same time, the unnecessary 0:1 away defeat to Brest can clearly be considered a negative. An important factor for the red-whites is their home arena, where they have not suffered a single defeat this season, taking into account all tournaments.
In the Eredivisie, PSV is in first place after 20 rounds, four points ahead of Ajax, although the rival has a game in hand. The gap could have been much bigger, but in the last five rounds, Peter Bosz team has won only two victories. In the last match, they managed to beat Breda on their home field (3:2), not without some problems.
Disqualifications and injuries
Dest, Nagalo, Drios and Tillman are all out due to injury. Oppegard is in doubt. Flamingo will serve a suspension for being sent off in the previous round.
Interesting trends for betting
- PSV have lost in the first half in three of their last five matches
- In 8 of the previous 11 matches between the red and whites, both teams scored goals
- PSV are unbeaten in 11 of their last 14 Champions League matches
- PSV have conceded fouls in seven of their previous nine matches
Probable line-up: Benitez - Ledezma, Obispo, Boscagli, Mauro Junior - Schouten, Verman - Bakayoko, Thiel, Lang - De Jong.
Liverpool
EnglandCurrent form
Liverpool have gone seven rounds in the Champions League without a point, scoring 15 goals and conceding just twice. Arne Sloth team has had excellent results and will undoubtedly try to put a bold end to the game, although a rotation of the squad is needed in the conditions of a tough schedule. However, first place is not yet guaranteed, as Barcelona are three points behind, and today at least a draw is needed to maintain the lead.
The Reds played their last match in the Champions League on their home field against Lille. Salah opened the scoring in the first half. In the second 45 minutes, the opponent was left with ten men, but equalized. However, Elliott scored the winning goal in the 67th minute. It should be noted that Liverpool won two of their three away wins in the Champions League with a minimal advantage of one goal. Leipzig and Girona were defeated with a score of 1:0. Only with Milan was there a fairly open game - a 3:1 victory.
In the Premier League, Arne Sloth team is confidently moving towards the championship title. In 22 matches, they managed to score 53 points, the gap from second-placed Arsenal is six points, and there is still a game in hand. In the last round, the Merseysiders pleased with an abundance of goals scored and thrashed Ipswich 4:1 on their home field.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gomez and Jota are both out with injuries, with Jones a doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Liverpool have won in the first half in three of their last five matches
- Liverpool have kept clean sheets in five of their last six Champions League matches
- More than three goals have not been scored in six of the Merseysiders' last eight Champions League matches
- Liverpool have not drawn in their last 15 away matches in the Champions League
Probable line-up: Alisson - Bradley, Konate, Quansah, Tsimikas - Endo, McAllister - Chiesa, Elliott, Gakpo - Nunez.
Trends
Bet PSV win by offsides
Liverpool have lost their last eight matches due to offsides
1.50Liverpool to score in first half
Liverpool have scored in the opening 45 minutes in three of their last five matches
1.50Bet Exact score 1:2
Liverpool have won all seven of their matches in the Champions League this season.
10.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In PSV last five matches, goals have been scored in each half
1.55Bet Total yellow cards PSV over 1.5
PSV players have received at least two yellow cards in six of their last eight Champions League home matches
1.77Tip and bets
It is not often that you can see odds higher than 3.00 for Liverpool to win in the bookmaker line. Obviously, given the tournament position today, we can expect a decent rotation of the squad, but at the same time, first place is not yet guaranteed, and from the point of view of prestige, the Merseysiders will most likely strive for victory. It is not easy for any opponent to play away at PSV, the red-whites have not lost at home yet this season. However, in general, the hosts have often allowed themselves to misfire lately, they lack stability and reliability in defense. We think that given the odds set, it is worth checking the bet on the victory of Arne Sloth charges, although, of course, we do not exclude the option of a draw, which will completely suit the opponents.
Our prediction is Liverpool win at odds of 3.10
Bet on total
In seven rounds played in the Champions League, Liverpool have conceded only two goals, and their reliable play in defense and constant pressing have been the key to success. We don’t think that PSV will be able to score twice against the Merseysiders.
The second bet is the individual total goals of PSV under 1.5 with odds of 2.04
Bet on corners
Another promising trend in corners is worth noting. In eight of the last nine away matches in the Champions League, Liverpool have taken more corners than their opponents. Accordingly, we recommend betting on statistics.
Prediction - Liverpool win on corners with odds of 1.70
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