LiontipsSporting vs Nacional. Prediction and bets on the match of the Portuguese championship
Command Analysis
Current form
In the previous round, Sporting easily won away against Rio Ave with a score of 3:0. In the tournament table, they are able to hold first place with a gap of three points from Benfica. It should be noted that the team has played eight matches in the championship on their home field, in which they won seven, and the only defeat was in the confrontation with not the most formidable Santa Clara (0:1). Last week, Sporting had an unsuccessful trip to Leipzig in the Champions League - a 1:2 defeat. Now in the final round, it is important to beat Bologna on their home field in order to easily secure a place in the playoffs, although in certain situations a draw will do.
Disqualifications and injuries
Edwards, Goncalves and Quaresma will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sporting have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches.
- Goals have been exchanged in three of Sporting previous five matches
Estimated line-up: Israel - Fresneda, Diomande, Inacio - Catamu, Bragança, Hjulmann, Cuenda - Trincao, Diokeres, Araujo.
Current form
Nacional does not have a strong enough squad to set high goals for itself in the Primeira Liga. Nevertheless, the team copes with the main task of preserving its place in the league. With 19 points after 18 rounds, the black-and-whites are in 14th place in the table and are four points ahead of the relegation zone. Two victories in a row in the previous two rounds helped a lot - over Porto (2:0) and ABC (3:1). Undoubtedly, such successes indicate that the team is now on track, the players are on a decent emotional high. It is worth noting that Nacional has not often pleased its fans on the road throughout the season - only three points scored.
Disqualifications and injuries
Baeza will not play today due to injury. Sumaré will miss the game due to disqualification.
Interesting trends for betting
- Nacional have not lost in the first half in their last five matches
- The teams have exchanged goals in three of their previous five matches.
Tentative lineup: Lucas Franca - Garcia, Ze Vitor, Ulisses, Jose Gomes - Bruno Costa, Mateus Dias - Macedo, Esteveche, Dudu - Isaac.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the last five head-to-head matches, goals were not scored in either half
2.10Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has won in four of the last five head-to-head meetings
1.77Bet Exact score 2:0
Sporting have won two of their last four head-to-head matches with this score
8.40Tip and bets
Sporting has a significant advantage in class, it is unlikely that the hosts will allow a defeat today. However, we would not underestimate Nacional, which is currently at the peak of form, has won two victories in a row, including a win against Porto. The lions have a difficult battle in the Champions League behind them, a crucial match in the main European Cup tournament is ahead, the favorite will clearly try to get three points on class. We believe that a rout will not happen.
Our prediction is Nacional with Asian handicap (+2.5) at odds of 1.65
Bet on total
The visitors will bet on defense; it is risky to play open football with Sporting. In the last five matches, Nacional did not concede more than two goals, although in this period there were matches with the giants, Benfica and Porto. We do not expect a very productive game today.
The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.76
Bet on corners
At home, Sporting will clearly play from a position of strength as number one and will spend a lot of time at the opponent goal. We expect the hosts to confidently win on corners.
Prediction - Sporting win on corners with handicap (-3.5) with odds of 1.61
