LiontipsSevilla vs Espanyol. Betting Tip (odds 2.36) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Sevilla continue to struggle for consistency this season, having not won two games in a row in La Liga since April last year. However, a 2-1 win over Girona in the previous round keeps their ambitions of returning to European competition alive. Coming into this match, the Nervionese are just four points behind the European places, keeping their hopes of a successful end to the season alive.
This is Sevilla first year without continental competition in more than a decade, but coach García Pimienta work is already paying off, with the team 10 points up on the same stage last season. However, their slow starts remain a problem - Sevilla have conceded first in 12 of their 20 La Liga games, including seven of their last nine. They will need more focus from the start to succeed against Espanyol.
Disqualifications and injuries
Pedrosa and Romero will not take part in the match (excess of yellow cards).
Interesting trends for betting
- Sevilla last seven home games in La Liga have not seen more than one goal scored in the second half.
- Sevilla are unbeaten in their last 13 home games in La Liga, with three of their four wins coming by narrow margins.
- Jose Angel Carmona has been prolific against Espanyol, scoring in his last two encounters at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
Probable lineup: Fernandez - Sanchez, Martinez, Gudelj, Lukebakio - Carmona, Bueno, Sow - Lamela, Rodriguez, Acuña
Current form
Espanyol have continued to struggle on the road this season, scoring the first goal in just one of their nine away games. Even then, against Real Madrid in September, it did not save them from a crushing 4-1 defeat. With the worst away record in La Liga – just one point and four goals scored – Manolo González’s side are once again embroiled in a relegation battle in their first season back in the top flight.
However, the Parrots managed to break a six-match winless streak by beating Valladolid 2-1 in the last round. However, the lack of victories in the last 11 head-to-head meetings with Sevilla makes fans fear the worst before the next away game.
Disqualifications and injuries
Unable to take to the field: Ramon (knee injury), Graguera (ankle injury) and Catala (knee injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Espanyol have conceded at least one goal in 13 of their last 15 La Liga matches.
- In seven of the last eight head-to-head matches with Sevilla, both teams have scored.
- Joselu has scored in two of the team last three away matches.
- Espanyol have not won away from home in La Liga since the start of the season, losing eight and drawing once.
Probable line-up: Garcia - Oscar Gil, Calero, Sergi Gomez, Bryan Olivan - Sergi Darder, Vinicius Souza, Edu Esposito - Javier Poidreau, Martin Braithwaite, Joselu.
Trends
Bet Exact score 2:0
Two of the last six head-to-head matches ended with this score
9.50Bet Corners: total over 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 3 of Sevilla last 5 matches
1.86Bet Goals in both halves - yes
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the guests this type of bet took place
1.95Bet Number 0 in the score
In two of the six matches of the guests such a bet took place
1.88Tip and bets
The upcoming La Liga match between Sevilla and Espanyol is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Both teams have been struggling in attack lately, which reduces the likelihood of a big goal. Sevilla, although higher up the table, rarely scores goals. Six of the team last seven home games in La Liga have seen no more than one goal scored in the second half, indicating a rather restrained attack.
Espanyol, on the other hand, are one of the worst teams in away scoring. They have scored just four goals in nine away games, making their attack one of the most ineffective in the league. Espanyol’s problems in creating chances are further compounded by the absence of key players, which reduces their chances of success in front of goal. Head-to-head meetings between Sevilla and Espanyol also rarely produce many goals. Four of the last six matches between these teams have seen under 2.5 goals. Given the cautious approach of both teams, the problems with converting chances and the importance of points, we can expect a closed football with an emphasis on defense.
Betting Tip - total under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.99
Bet on the outcome
The La Liga match between Sevilla and Espanyol is important for both teams. Sevilla is motivated to get three points to improve its position in the table and continue the fight for European cups. The team shows decent results in home matches, having won three of the last four games on its home field. In addition, the statistics of head-to-head meetings confirms the advantage of Sevilla - in the last 11 matches against Espanyol, they have not suffered a single defeat.
Espanyol, despite winning the previous round, are experiencing serious difficulties on the road. With one point in nine away matches this season and a weak attacking line, the visitors are unlikely to create serious problems for the hosts. Given the difference in class and Sevilla confident home form, we expect the hosts to win.
Our prediction is Asian handicap (-1) on Sevilla. We bet on it with odds of 2.36
Bet on statistics
The match between Sevilla and Espanyol could be one of those where the teams focus on possession and the fight for control in the center of the field. We expect the hosts to dominate, while the visitors will focus on counterattacks. This creates the preconditions for a large number of corner kicks.
Sevilla consistently earn corners at home, thanks to active flank attacks, while Espanyol often give up the initiative, which leads to frequent ball clearances. Given the playing style of both teams and high motivation, we expect the standard total of corners to be exceeded.
Betting Tip - total corners over 9.5, odds 1.92
