LiontipsLeipzig vs Bayer. Prediction and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
Leipzig had a significant event in the Champions League this week. In six rounds played, the Bulls did not score a single point, lost even a theoretical chance for the playoffs, but nevertheless managed to beat a motivated Sporting 2:1 on their home field in the seventh round. Thus, Marco Rose team now has a home winning streak, taking into account all tournaments, of three matches. However, the overall situation in the Bundesliga is not the most encouraging. In the two previous rounds, they lost to Stuttgart (1:2) on the road and drew with Bochum (3:3), losing a three-goal lead in 21 minutes. As a result, Leipzig lost fourth place in the standings and is approaching the start of the 19th round in fifth place, one point behind Stuttgart.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lukeba, Henrichs, Ouedraogo, Schlager and Silva are all out today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Leipzig have won in the first half in the last four meetings
- At least three goals have been scored in Leipzig previous five Bundesliga matches
Tentative line-up: Gulachi - Baku, Klosterman, Orban, Raum - Nusa, Vermeeren, Kampl, Simons - Openda, Sheshko.
Current form
Bayer impressive 11-game winning streak in all competitions was interrupted this week. In the Champions League, the pharmacists lost 1-2 to Atletico in Madrid, despite being ahead and playing with a man advantage for a long time. However, in the Bundesliga, Xabi Alonso men continue to pursue Bayern, the gap between them ahead of the 19th round matches is four points. The winning streak in the championship currently stands at eight matches. In the last round, Bayer confidently beat Borussia Mönchengladbach on their home field with a score of 3-1. Wirtz once again showed his worth, scoring a double.
Disqualifications and injuries
Belosyan, Adli and Terje will miss the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- In seven of Bayer last nine Bundesliga matches, both teams have scored goals
- The pharmacists have not lost in their previous 25 away matches in the Bundesliga (19 wins and six draws)
Estimated line-up: Hradecky – Mukiele, Tapsoba, Ta, Inkapie – Xhaka, Andrich – Frimpong, Wirtz, Grimaldo – Schick.
Trends
Bet Total corners "Leipzig" over 3.5
In six of their last eight Bundesliga home games, Leipzig have taken at least four corners
1.60Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in four of Bayer last five matches
1.63Bet Exact score 2:3
The last three head-to-head matches had the following score
19.00Tip and bets
There is no doubt that the Bayer players still remember the first-round head-to-head game, when Leverkusen played with the majority, were leading 2:0, but ultimately lost the match (2:3). Today, the visitors will be extremely motivated to take revenge for that unfortunate failure and we think they will succeed. Xabi Alonso team has been showing a more even and stable game throughout the season, they have managed to improve their defense, and there are fewer and fewer unnecessary goals conceded. Wirtz and Schick are currently on the move in the attack, capable of single-handedly bringing victories to their club. Leipzig is not distinguished by any stability, only plays individual matches at a high level, and is unlikely to be ready to take points from the upcoming opponent even on its home field at the moment.
Our prediction is Bayer victory with odds of 1.93
Bet on total
The last face-to-face matches were distinguished by high scoring. Thus, in the three previous matches the opponents invariably scored five goals between them. It is unlikely that we should expect a goal drought today.
The second bet is total over three goals with odds of 1.86
Yellow Card Betting
Let pay attention to the promising trend in yellow cards. In the eight previous head-to-head matches on Leipzig field in the Bundesliga, Bayer did not lose in terms of the number of warnings. Based on such statistics, another bet suggests itself.
Prediction - Bayer will not lose on yellow cards with odds of 1.61
