LiontipsBorussia Dortmund vs Werder. Prediction and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
After the Christmas break, Borussia lost three games in a row in the Bundesliga. Even with these failures, Nuri Sahin still had a chance to keep his job. However, the defeat in the Champions League from Bologna was key, the management still decided to resign the specialist. In the upcoming game, the team will be led by youth coach Mike Tullberg. The position of the Bumblebees in the championship is unenviable - 25 points and an interim tenth place. It is characteristic that in 2025 they managed to lose not only to the formidable Bayer (2:3), but also to Holstein (2:4), and Eintracht (0:2). Borussia now has obvious problems in defense - in four matches in a row they have not conceded less than two goals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injury, Sule will not play today. Guirassy appearance on the field is in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- In three of the last four matches, Borussia lost in the first half
- Borussia have not won in six of their last seven Bundesliga matches (three draws and three defeats)
Estimated line-up: Kobel – Ruerson, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bancebaini – Reina, Nmecha, Brandt – Adeyemi, Bayer, Gittens.
Current form
Werder did not please their fans after the break - only one point in three rounds. There were losses to Leipzig (2:4) and Augsburg (0:2), as well as a productive draw with Heidenham (3:3). The Bremen team conceded nine goals in three games, it is difficult to count on positive results with such an unreliable defense. As a result, the musicians rolled back in the tournament table to ninth place and are only one point ahead of their opponent today. The gap from the Eurocup zone is only two points. It should be noted that throughout the season, Werder has been successful on the road, where they managed to score 16 points out of their total 26 points.
Disqualifications and injuries
Agu and Topp will not play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Werder have not lost in the first half in three of their last five matches
- Werder are unbeaten in five of their last seven Bundesliga matches
Estimated line-up: Zetterer – Stark, Friedl, Jung – Weiser, Stage, Schmidt, Lienen, Ken – Grüll, Ducksch.
Trends
Bet: Werder will score in the second half
In their last three matches, Borussia have conceded in the second 45 minutes
1.54Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in four of the five previous personal meetings
1.67Bet Exact score 1:1
Borussia have drawn two of their previous four home matches
7.80Tip and bets
Borussia is currently in a clear decline, a complete breakdown in the game, especially in defense. It is unlikely that Nuri Sahin resignation will immediately have a positive effect. Even on their home field, the Bumblebees have ceased to be a formidable force. Werder has not been shining after the break either, but still, their game is not in such a clear decline as their upcoming opponent. We do not think that at the moment Borussia deserves the favorite status that bookmakers assign to it.
Our prediction is a Werder win with an Asian handicap (+1) at odds of 1.84
Bet on total
Both Borussia and Werder are currently experiencing major problems in defense, and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their matches since the break. Don't expect all these problems to be resolved quickly, and there is a high probability that goals will be exchanged today
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.60
Bet on corners
Both teams play quite bold attacking football and spend a lot of time at the opponent goal. In the face-to-face match of the first round, 11 corners were served, we expect no fewer corners this time.
Betting Tip - total corners over 9.5 with odds of 1.75
