LiontipsArsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb. Prediction (odds 3.50) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Arsenal can put the interim results of their performance in the Champions League to their credit. In six rounds played, the Gunners have scored 13 points, are in the top 8 and today, in case of victory, they will guarantee themselves a place in the playoffs. The Londoners lost the coveted points only away, and twice to representatives of the Italian Serie A - a draw with Atalanta (0:0) and a defeat to Inter (0:1). In home matches, they managed to score the maximum nine points thanks to victories over PSG, Shakhtar and Monaco. It should be noted that only in the confrontation with the Monegasques did they manage to win with an advantage of more than two goals (3:0).
In the Premier League, they have not been able to get a more or less decent winning streak. Thus, in the previous five rounds, Mikel Arteta charges have not suffered a single defeat, while losing points in matches with Brighton (1:1) and Aston Villa (2:2). With 44 points, Arsenal is in second place, ahead of Nottingham Forest only on additional indicators, and is six points behind the leader Liverpool.
The Gunners had a poor cup run. In the first game of the League Cup semi-final, they lost 0:2 at home to Newcastle. Then there was an exit in the FA Cup from Manchester United in a penalty shootout.
Disqualifications and injuries
Arsenal have a lot of injured players, which makes it difficult to rotate the squad, especially in the defensive line, where the losses are most noticeable. White, Tomiyasu, Saka, Nwaneri, Jesus, Calafiori and Saliba will be absent due to injury today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Four of Arsenal last five matches have seen goals exchanged
- Six of Arsenal previous seven Champions League games have seen three or fewer goals scored
- Arsenal have won seven of their last eight home matches in the Champions League after normal time.
- Arsenal have lost four of their last five games on fouls
Probable line-up: Raya - Partey, Timber, Magalhaes, Louis-Skelly - Odegaard, Merino, Rice - Martinelli, Havertz, Trossard.
Current form
Dynamo had a complete failure at the start of the Champions League in Munich – a crushing defeat 2:9. Later, the coach was changed, and overall the team managed to improve, does not lose chances for a place in the top 24, as it has eight points. Of course, it is difficult for the Croatians to compete with the giants of European football, but they managed to take points in the confrontation with opponents of comparable class – victories over Salzburg (2:0) and Slovan from Bratislava (4:1). In the last round, a goalless draw was recorded with Celtic.
Things are not going too well in the Croatian championship. Largely because of this, the management decided to change the coach again. Now the club is headed by the famous former Italian defender Fabio Cannavaro, who replaced Nenad Bjelica. After 18 rounds in the national championship, Dinamo is only in third place. There is a seven-point gap from the leading duo of Rijeka and Hajduk.
The domestic championship has not yet resumed after the winter break. Dynamo played three friendly games in preparation for the Champions League. They drew with Shakhtar Donetsk and Jagiellonia Poland, and also won 3:1 against Lech.
Disqualifications and injuries
Sucic, Petkovic and Misic will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Dynamo last four matches featured an exchange of goals
- The team has not lost in seven of its previous nine Champions League matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in seven of Dynamo last ten Champions League matches
- In the four previous matches, Dynamo won on shots on target
Estimated line-up: Zagorac – Ristovski, Theophile-Catherine, Torrente, Pierre-Gabriel – Kačavenda, Rog – Spikic, Baturina, Pjaca – Kulenovic.
Trends
Bet Total corners "Dynamo" more than 2.5
Croatia have taken at least three corners in six of their last eight Champions League away games
1.93Dynamo will score in the second half
Arsenal have conceded in the second 45 minutes in four of their last five matches
3.50Bet Exact score 2:1
Arsenal have won their last three home games by a one-goal margin
11.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
Three of Arsenal last five matches have seen goals scored in each half
1.40Bet Total yellow cards under 3.5
The stake has played in Arsenal previous six home matches in the Champions League
1.63Tip and bets
There is a noticeable difference in class between the rivals, which can be seen in the bookmakers' line, where Arsenal is given the status of a clear favorite. However, it cannot be said that the Gunners are currently at the peak of their form, their implementation often fails, and there are many losses in the defense, and they rarely manage to play to zero. In the last four home matches in national tournaments, Mikel Arteta charges have won only one victory, and that with a score of 2:1 over Tottenham. The visitors, after the defeat from Bayern at the start of the tournament, have somewhat stabilized their game, we think that under the leadership of Fabio Cannavaro they will be able to avoid a major defeat today.
Our prediction is a victory for Dinamo Zagreb with an Asian handicap (+2.5) at odds of 1.87
Bet on total
Arsenal have significant problems with their defensive lineup. The Gunners have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four home games, and there is a high probability that Dynamo will take advantage of one of their chances. At the same time, the Londoners' attack is at its best, and it is unlikely that they will be left without a goal of their own. We think that bookmakers are somewhat underestimating the betting market on the exchange of goals scored.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 2.44
Bet on the first half
We expect that in the opening 45 minutes the visitors will cope with the onslaught of a superior opponent, while there is still enough strength. Moreover, Arsenal does not always play confidently in the first halves, in two of the four previous matches they did not win in this period. We recommend a betting tip with a high coefficient that the opponents will not reveal the winner in the first half.
Betting Tip - draw in the first half with odds of 3.50
