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Islam Makhachev vs. Renato Moicano: Fight Prediction
The main event of the UFC 311 tournament was supposed to be the title fight between Islam Makhachev and Arman Tsarukyan. However, the Russian opponent withdrew due to injury and Brazilian Renato Moicano will fight instead today. According to bookmakers, Makhachev is the undisputed favorite in the fight against Moicano on January 19. How easy will the victory be, or should we expect a sensation? We recommend that you read our betting tip and choose the exact bets on the fight
Command Analysis
Islam Makhachev
Russian FederationCurrent form
Makhachev is the current lightweight champion and, in addition, tops the UFC rankings regardless of weight categories. The Dagestani made his last title defense in June 2024. In total, he has already successfully defended his title three times.
Islam is currently on an impressive 14-fight winning streak in the UFC. His last win over Dustin Poirier was a tough one, but he still managed to defeat him via submission in the fifth round.
It should be noted that Islam fighting style has changed significantly over the years. In his youth, he sought a takedown and a choke. Now Makhachev is trying to fight standing up, delivering more and more accurate blows. Let us recall that he knocked out Volkanovski. In general, it is highly likely that Islam will try to harass his opponent today, change the rhythm and direction of his attacks, and not let him show himself.
Interesting trends for betting
- Makhachev winning streak reaches 14 fights
- Makhachev reflects 90% of translation attempts
Renato Carneiro
BrazilCurrent form
Moicano is a former Jungle Fight featherweight champion, winner of the UFC Performance of the Night and Fight of the Night awards. His record includes 26 fights - 20 wins, five losses, one draw. For the Brazilian, one can say that a miracle happened, since he is only tenth in the rankings. Tsarukyan injury allows him not only to test his strength, but also to significantly increase his fee.
Renato has won four times in a row and is clearly in good shape now. But it is worth noting that during this period he has not had any opponents from the top ten. It is obvious that the level of the opposition is not even close to Makhachev.
The Brazilian was purposefully preparing for the upcoming event to face Beneil Darius. However, due to the current circumstances, he will have to fight an opponent of a different plan and caliber. It is difficult to accurately judge in betting tips and bets how ready he will be, first of all, tactically for this.
Interesting trends for betting
- Moicano has won his previous four fights.
- Renato reflects 72% of translation attempts
Trends
Total Rounds Under 2.5 Bet
Makhachev has 67% of early wins in the world strongest league
1.51Tip and bets
Makhachev has not lost in the UFC since 2015, he has a huge experience of performing at the highest level, against opponents with different tactics. We do not think that a change of opponent will be a serious obstacle for him. But Moikano may have significant problems with this, after all, the level is completely different. In all respects, the Russian has an advantage, both in the stand and on the ground. Plus, he is much more psychologically stable, after all, he has more than one successful title defense under his belt. We expect that there will be no particular intrigue today, the favorite will finish the fight with a victory in the first or second round.
Our prediction is Makhachev victory in the first or second round with odds of 1.70
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