LiontipsDraper vs Alcaraz. Australian Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Draper played another five-set match in the third round of the Australian Open - this time he beat Aleksandar Vukic (6-4, 2-6, 5-7, 7-6, 7-6). In the match against the Australian, Jack served 29 aces, converted four break points and lost six games on his serve. Earlier in the tournament, the Briton also won in five sets against Thanasi Kokkinakis and Mariano Navone.
Professional qualities
Draper is already demonstrating a level of play that is devoid of obvious weaknesses. He has excellent movement, balanced strikes on both sides and a strong mental readiness for big victories. However, his game is currently limited by two factors. Firstly, the lack of sufficient variability, which makes his style predictable for experienced opponents. Secondly, an increased injury rate, due to which the Briton has already missed several important tournaments.
Current indicators in the tour
Draper is in the top 20 and currently occupies 18th place in the world ranking. At the end of last season, Jack had two trophies to his credit - he won on grass in Stuttgart and won indoor competitions in Vienna. In total, the Briton has won 14 trophies in his career, two of which are ATP categories.
Interesting facts for betting
All three of Draper matches in Melbourne were five-set matches.
Current form
Alcaraz advanced to the fourth round of the Australian Open thanks to a victory over Nuno Borges (6-2, 6-4, 6-7, 6-2). Carlos served nine aces, converted five break points and did not lose a single game on his serve during the match against the Portuguese. Earlier in the tournament, the Spaniard beat Yoshihito Nishioka and Alexander Shevchenko.
Professional qualities
Alcaraz impresses with his dynamics on the court, his rapid and constant movement makes it almost impossible to break through the Spaniard when he is in optimal form. Although such qualities are more often inherent in defensive players, Carlos is always attack-oriented. He can temporarily go into passive mode in a rally, but at the slightest chance he invariably goes on the counter-offensive. The Spaniard is also not afraid to go to the net and is actively working on improving this aspect of the game.
Current indicators in the tour
Alcaraz once topped the world rankings, but is now in third place. Last season, the Spaniard won four trophies, including victories at the Grand Slam tournaments - Roland Garros and Wimbledon. In total, Carlos has won 25 titles in his career, including 17 ATP titles.
Interesting facts for betting
Last season, Alcaraz managed to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open.
Trends
Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has played in 3 of Alcaraz previous 5 matches
1.75Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Draper last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.21Tip and bets
Draper, despite his talent, is unlikely to be able to put up serious resistance to Alcaraz. The British tennis player has already played three grueling five-set matches on the Melbourne courts and he clearly will not have time to properly recover for the upcoming match. Carlos, on the contrary, is in excellent shape and demonstrates a stable game. Most likely, he will be the one to win this match.
Our prediction is Alcaraz victory with a handicap of (-7) games at odds of 1.79
Bet on total
We expect that the upcoming match will hardly drag on for long. Three five-set matches will definitely affect Draper physical condition and he will most likely not have time to fully recover for the match against Alcaraz. We believe that the winner in this pair will be determined by the results of three sets.
The second betting tip is total under 34 games for odds of 1.73
Bet on the first set
Three of Alcaraz last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games, so we expect his upcoming match against Draper to start with a low first set as well.
Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.72
