LiontipsBrentford vs Liverpool. Prediction (4.60) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Brentford have cemented their status as a solid mid-table Premier League side during the season. The Londoners are definitely not in danger of survival, but it will be hard to count on a place in the European Cups, given that they are currently seven points behind the top 6. The Bees are in 11th place in the table after 21 rounds, having scored 28 points.
Undoubtedly, the results of Thomas Frank charges could have been better, but the team has been unconvincing in away matches - only five points scored at other stadiums since the beginning of the season. At home, Brentford scored 23 points, by the way, the same as Liverpool. It is alarming that in the three previous matches at Brentford Community they failed to win. There were losses to Nottingham Forest (0:2) and Arsenal (1:3), a draw with Manchester City (2:2). As you can see, even the home field factor did not help the Bees in the confrontations with the leaders of the Premier League, who are in excellent shape.
Brentford last Premier League game was played at home against Manchester City. In that encounter, all the main events on the field took place after the break. First, the Citizens scored two goals, and then the Bees equalized, with Noergaard scoring the decisive goal in the second minute of added time.
Disqualifications and injuries
The injured list includes Ajer, Dasilva, Nunez, Hickey, Pinnock, Thiago, Trevitt. The losses are quite significant, Thomas Frank does not have many opportunities to rotate the squad in the conditions of a difficult schedule.
Interesting trends for betting
- Brentford have drawn with their opponents in the first half in four of their last five matches
- Brentford have scored at least three goals in 12 of their last 15 Premier League games
- Both teams have scored in 11 of the Londoners' previous 12 Premier League home games
- Brentford have scored at least two goals in nine of their last 12 home Premier League games
Probable line-up: Flecken - Roerslev, Collins, van den Berg, Lewis-Potter - Noergaard, Janelt, Jensen - Mbeumo, Vissa, Damsgaard.
Current form
Liverpool have seen a slight decline in their performance and results. Of course, it is too early to talk about a crisis, but nevertheless, the fact that in the last four matches in all tournaments they have managed to win only one victory is somewhat alarming. First, they failed to beat Manchester United, who are far from being at their peak right now, in the Premier League (2:2). Then there was a defeat to Tottenham in the first match of the League Cup semi-final with a minimal score of 0:1. In the FA Cup, Arne Sloth charges smashed Accrington with class (4:0).
In the last round of the Premier League, Liverpool played away against one of their pursuers, Nottingham Forest. Let us recall that it was the Foresters who inflicted the only defeat on the Merseysiders this season in the Premier League, back in the first round. Despite decent motivation to take revenge, the Liverpool team this time drew with their unyielding opponent (1:1). Nottingham opened the scoring in the eighth minute, after which they held the advantage for a long time, but in the middle of the second half, Diogo Jota scored a return goal.
After 21 rounds, Liverpool still lead the league table with 47 points. The gap to their closest pursuer, Arsenal, is four points, but there is still a game in hand. Ahead is the match against Brentford, which the Merseysiders have beaten in four previous head-to-head matches, and have conceded only one goal in these meetings.
Disqualifications and injuries
Only Gomez will not play today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Liverpool have failed to win in the first half in three of their last four matches
- At least four goals have been scored in six of the Merseysiders' previous seven Premier League matches
- Both teams to score have played in six of Liverpool last seven Premier League matches
- Liverpool have committed more fouls than their opponents in seven of their last eight matches
Probable line-up: Alisson - Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson - McAllister, Gravenberg - Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo - Diaz.
Trends
Bet : Liverpool to win on corners with handicap (-1.5)
Liverpool have won seven of their last nine matches on corners
1.55Brentford to miss bet
Brentford have lost three of their last four head-to-head meetings with Liverpool with a clean sheet
3.10Bet Exact score 0:2
Liverpool have won two of their last four head-to-head matches by a two-goal margin
10.00Bet Liverpool to win on fouls
Liverpool players have committed more fouls than their opponents in seven of their last eight games
1.69Liverpool not to lose on yellow cards
Brentford have not received more yellow cards than their opponents in three of their last four matches
1.64Tip and bets
Liverpool have made a few mistakes recently and allowed their competitors to get a little closer. It is obvious that the visitors will have no problems with motivation today, they need to earn three points, the fight for the title is not over yet, there is a decent part of the tournament distance ahead. Brentford is experiencing serious problems with the squad, even the home field factor has ceased to help the Bees in confrontations with the leaders of the Premier League, as evidenced by defeats to Nottingham and Arsenal, and with a difference of two goals. The Merseysiders are playing successfully with Brentford, they have won four previous face-to-face matches, while in the last three victories were confident, with an advantage of at least two goals, which is what we expect today.
Our prediction is Liverpool to win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) at odds of 2.15
Bet on total
It is worth noting that Liverpool have won their last four head-to-head encounters, but only once have more than three goals been scored. The Merseysiders' defence is remarkably reliable, and we wouldn't be surprised if they don't allow the Bees to score, while they themselves are unlikely to score four goals.
The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.96
Bet on the exact difference in the score
Liverpool have a significant advantage in class, which should be enough to secure a comfortable victory. In addition, Brentford suffered their last two home defeats in the Premier League by two goals, which we do not rule out today.
Prediction: Liverpool win by two goals with odds of 4.60
