LiontipsRoma - Genoa. Betting Tip (odds 3.70) and bets on the Serie A match
Command Analysis
Current form
Roma completely failed a decent part of the season at the start and are now trying with all their might to make up for lost time and join the fight for a place in the European Cups. Undoubtedly, a positive moment was the arrival of the experienced Claudio Ranieri as head coach. Over the last eight matches in all tournaments, the Romans suffered only one defeat, albeit a very painful one, from Como away with a score of 0:2 in Serie A.
In the last round, the Giallorossi had a tough away match against Bologna (2:2). They managed to get one point in that match only in the eighth minute of added time, when Dovbyk converted a penalty. In the tournament table, Roma is in 10th place with 24 points, ahead of today opponent by one point. The gap from the top 6 is eight points, clearly the Romans have less and less room for error now.
An important advantage for Roma today will be the home field factor. At the Olimpico, the team scored 18 of its total 24 points and is currently on an open series of three victories in a row. Note that all of these victories were confident, with an advantage of at least two goals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Roma has no significant problems with its squad. Only Cristante will not play today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Roma have not lost in the first half in their last five matches – three wins and two draws
- Roma have won six of their last nine home matches in Serie A
- In five of Roma last seven home league games, at least one team has failed to score
- Roma have not conceded more than one goal at home in seven of their last nine Serie A matches
Tentative lineup: Svilar - Ndika, Hummels, Mancini - Saelemaekers, Kone, Paredes, Angelino - Dybala, Pellegrini - Dovbik.
Current form
Genoa have only one defeat in the last ten rounds of Serie A. However, such solid statistics do not allow them to be located higher than 11th place in the standings. The reason is that the Griffins play a draw too often. Thus, in the previous 10 matches they have drawn five times with their opponents, and since the beginning of the season they have eight draws.
Undoubtedly, a positive moment was the appointment of Patrick Vieira as head coach back in November. Under his leadership, Genoa suffered only one defeat, against Napoli on their home field with a score of 1:2. In the last round, a home victory of 1:0 was registered against Parma. Then the Griffins had a noticeable territorial advantage and in the second half, Frendrup realized one of the moments.
It should be noted that Genoa relies on defense in its game under the leadership of Patrick Vieira. The attack is not impressive - only 17 goals scored, only Lecce scored less in Serie A (14 goals).
Disqualifications and injuries
Genoa have a decent list of injured players, which significantly reduces the possibilities for rotation and the use of various tactical schemes. Today, due to injuries, Malinovskyi, Achanor, Norton-Caffi, Ekuban, Vitinha and Badelj will not take to the field.
Interesting trends for betting
- In three consecutive matches involving Genoa, the first half ended with a 0-0 score
- The team has not lost in the last five away matches in Serie A – three wins and two draws
- In eight of Genoa last ten away games in Serie A, at least one team has failed to score
- No more than two goals have been scored in four of Genoa previous five away league games
Tentative line-up: Leali – De Winter, Vazquez, Bani, Martin – Thorsby, Casa, Frendrup – Zanoli, Pinamonti, Miretti.
Trends
Roma win on corners with handicap (-1.5 )
Genoa have lost seven of their last eight matches on corners
1.57Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has won in four of the last five head-to-head matches
1.45Bet Exact score 3:1
This score was recorded in two of the ten previous matches between the rivals
12.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In two of the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.72Bet Genoa win on yellow cards
In 13 of the previous 15 matches, Genoa players have received more yellow cards than their opponents
1.65Tip and bets
Genoa with its pragmatic defensive football is a very inconvenient opponent for many representatives of Serie A, it is not so easy to open their dense defense. However, today they will have to play in Rome against the Wolves, who have gained a decent pace, who have noticeably improved under Claudio Ranieri and do not experience any particular difficulties in attack. This is especially true for home games - in the three previous matches at the Olimpico in the championship, the Romans won, scoring 11 goals against their opponents. In addition, Roma has an advantage in class and the fact that the visitors have significant losses in the squad. We expect that the hosts will be able to confidently earn three points and continue their ascent in the table.
Our prediction is Roma victory with an Asian handicap (-1) at odds of 1.90
Bet on total
Under Ranieri leadership, Roma has noticeably improved its attack, the Wolves have won three games in a row in Serie A at home, and have always scored more than two goals. It is unlikely that Genoa defense will be a serious obstacle for them today. Overall, taking into account all tournaments, Roma currently have an open series of five home games in which they have managed to score at least two goals.
The second bet is Roma individual total goals over 1.5 with odds of 1.68
Combined rate
Roma relies on its powerful attack and is not afraid to concede. Genoa is dangerous on the counterattack, and is quite capable of converting one of its chances. There is a high probability that the Romans will win today, but a dry victory will not happen.
Prediction - Roma win and both teams to score with odds of 3.70
