LiontipsMontpellier vs. Monaco. Prediction (odds 3.80) and bets on the French Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
Montpellier chances of staying in Ligue 1 are fading. After the first round, they are the only team in the league that has not even scored ten points (nine). They are also the only team that has already conceded more than 40 goals (42). The club is currently on a seven-game winless streak, in which Jean-Louis Gasset men have lost five times.
The team plays much better at home than in away games. If we go into detail, the Paladins have lost only once in the last four games in front of local fans - with two draws and one win. The fiasco in the last round against Angers (1:3) was offensive. The game was equal. Yes, they had to recoup, and then the Paladins conceded a second time, but they began to actively attack. The pressure was very strong, because Kouyate and Ferri received red cards at the end of the second half for rough play. Then it became clear that they would not be able to recoup. Moreover, a third goal was conceded. Thus, the team suffered its 12th defeat in Ligue 1 this season.
The gap to safety is seven points. On the one hand, it is small, but given the form Montpellier are in, it is huge.
Disqualifications and injuries
Julien, Mincarelli, Toure, Maksimovic are injured, and Kouyaté and Ferri are suspended.
Interesting trends for betting
- Montpellier fail to win three matches in a row at home
- In the last 15 matches with local fans the hosts have conceded
- In three of the last five games, the Paladins failed to even score
Estimated line-up: Lecomte - Omeragic, Shotar, Sanyan - Tchato, Fayyad, Nzingula, Sylla - Al Tamari, Savanye - Adams.
Current form
Monaco is not to be envied at the moment either. In 2025, the team has already played three matches and failed to win any of them. It all started with a 0:1 defeat in the French Super Cup by PSG. Then there was a very difficult game with Nantes, which ended in a draw (2:2), and then another fiasco in a penalty shootout, this time in the French Cup against Reims. As a result, the team failed to win the Super Cup, was eliminated from the French Cup and has been losing points in the national championship for three matches now and is five points behind Marseille, who are in second place.
The calendar for the Monegasques is far from ideal. Next week the Champions League will start again, where Adi Hutter charges will play Aston Villa and Inter. In addition, the game in Ligue 1 with PSG and Rennes is not far off, which may well surprise and play good football. The absence of several players from the main squad is not encouraging. For example, Mavissa and Balogun will definitely not be able to take the field in the upcoming match, and Golovin, Akliush and Ilenikhen are questionable.
The team, in principle, plays away games well - in the five previous meetings, Monaco suffered only one defeat in regular time, in three games there was a draw and one victory. This gives hope that it will be possible to take three points from the last team in the rating.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Balogun and Mavissa will not be able to take part in the game, Golovin, Akliush and Ilenikhena are questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Monaco have scored in three of their last four away games
- The visitors failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four away games
- In 2025, Monaco has not yet won
Probable line-up: Ken Wanderson, Shingo, Kehrer, Caio Henrique - Minamino, Kamara, Zakaria, Ben Seghir - Bierit, Embolo.
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:2
The last face-to-face match ended with this score
7.60Monaco to score in the second half
In three of the last five matches the bet was successful
1.52Montpellier to score in the second half
In two of the last four meetings, Montpellier scored in the second 45 minutes
Monaco to win first half bet
In two of the last three head-to-head matches, Monaco went into the break leading
2.20Tip and bets
Both teams are not doing well in their penalty area. Montpellier have conceded more than 30 matches in a row, while Monaco have failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last ten encounters. Moreover, in nine of their 17 Ligue 1 matches, the hosts have both scored and conceded. At the same time, the visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in ten of their 17 matches in the national championship. It is also worth noting that both clubs have scored in eight of their previous 13 head-to-head encounters. It all comes down to the fact that this time, too, the opponents will be able to score at least once.
Our prediction is both teams to score with odds of 1.61
Bet on the outcome
Monaco is the clear favourite in the upcoming match, but we would not be so categorical about it. At the moment, the Monegasques are not in the form to confidently win away even against the last team in the ranking. Most likely, if the visitors win, it will be by no more than one goal.
Our prediction is a one-goal win for Monaco with odds of 3.80
Bet on corners
In four of the last five head-to-head matches, the opponents have taken no more than eight corners between them. Given the teams' current form, we conclude that this time around, it won't be possible to take many corners from the corner flag.
Our prediction is total under 8.5 corners with odds of 1.70
