LiontipsShelton vs Carreno Busta. Australian Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
In the first round of the Australian Open, Shelton beat Brandon Nakashima (7-6, 7-5, 7-5). In the match against his compatriot, Ben served 12 aces, converted three break points and lost one game on his serve. The American has one win and one loss this season.
Professional qualities
Shelton is one of the brightest young players on hard courts. His key weapon is a powerful serve. Despite his modest claims, Ben is one of the players with one of the fastest serve-ins on tour. However, he is valuable not only for the power of his serve. His charisma and emotional game make the American a crowd favorite. He loves to play in major tournaments, and the support of the fans charges him with additional energy.
Current indicators in the tour
Shelton closes the top 20 of the world ranking. In total, the American has won six trophies in his career, two of which are ATP categories. Last year, he successfully won back from Ben at home clay court competitions in Houston.
Interesting facts for betting
Last season, Shelton won 14 of 16 matches against players ranked outside the top 100.
Current form
Carreno Busta started the Australian Open with a win over Kamil Majchrzak (6-4, 4-6, 6-3). During the match, Pablo served six aces, converted four break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. For the Spaniard, this was his second victory this season after three losses.
Professional qualities
At 33, Carreno Busta has adapted his game to modern realities. Previously, the Spaniard preferred long rallies and wore down his opponents with his patience and consistency. But now he has become more aggressive, relying on a powerful serve and frequent trips to the net. This change in style is due to the fact that his speed of movement is not what it used to be, and it has become physically more difficult to withstand long exchanges of blows. However, this does not prevent Pablo from remaining competitive at a high level.
Current indicators in the tour
Carreno Busta was once ranked tenth in the world, but is now ranked 182nd. The Spaniard has won 30 trophies in his career, seven of which are ATP titles. Two years ago, he won the Montreal Open Hard Court.
Interesting facts for betting
Carreno Busta has just one win in his last four matches.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Shelton last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.29Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has played in 3 of the 5 previous Carreno-Busta matches
2.84Tip and bets
Carreno Busta has moved away from his usual game in the new season and is now trying to stick to an attacking style. However, the Spaniard is extremely vulnerable in this position, since he makes many unforced errors. We believe that Pablo is unlikely to be able to outshoot Shelton in an attacking manner.
Our prediction is Shelton victory with a handicap of (-4) games at odds of 1.77
Bet on total
Shelton powerful game should do its job in the upcoming fight. We believe that Carreno-Busta currently has few resources to compete with the American on equal terms.
The second betting tip is total under 39 games for odds of 1.95
Bet on the first set
Three of the last five Carreno-Busta matches have seen more than 9.5 games played in the first set, and the upcoming match against Shelton is likely to start with a top first set as well.
Betting Tip - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.59
