LiontipsBerrettini vs Rune. Australian Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Berrettini defeated Cameron Norrie (6-7, 6-4, 6-1, 6-3) in the first round of the Australian Open. Matteo served 32 aces, converted five break points and did not lose a single game on his serve in the match against the Briton. For Matteo, this was his first victory of the new season with one defeat.
Professional qualities
Berrettini is a tall, powerful Italian known for his devastating forehand and one of the best serves on tour. At his peak, Berrettini was a terror to opponents, especially on grass courts, where his strengths were at their best. However, a series of injuries and surgeries have reduced the effectiveness of his main weapons. His putt and forehand are no longer as devastating, and he has never been as prolific on open hard courts as he was on grass or even clay.
Current indicators in the tour
Berrettini is a former world No. 6. Matteo is currently ranked No. 34 in the world. Last year, the Italian won three clay court tournaments - he won in Marrakech, Gstaad and Kitzbühel. Berrettini has won 16 tournaments in his career, ten of which are ATP titles.
Interesting facts for betting
Berrettini has lost eight of his last nine matches against top-20 players on hard courts.
Current form
Rune secured a comeback win over Zhizhen Zhang in the first round of the Australian Open (4-6, 6-3, 6-4, 3-6, 6-4). Holger served ten aces, converted four break points and lost three games on his serve. For the Dane, this was his first win this season with one loss.
Professional qualities
Rune is one of the most versatile and talented players of the new generation. His game is devoid of obvious weaknesses. His serve is stable and powerful, his shots from both sides are top-notch, and his movements around the court and work on the baseline deserve respect. Holger likes to dictate the terms on the court, but when necessary, he is able to reliably defend and counterattack. However, the main problem of the young Dane is his youthful maximalism. Holger often takes too many risks, which sometimes leads to unjustified mistakes.
Current indicators in the tour
Rune is a former world number four. The Dane is currently ranked 13th in the world. He has won 13 trophies in his career, four of which are ATP titles. He won his last title at the clay court competition in Munich in 2023.
Interesting facts for betting
On hard courts, Rune has won his last five matches against the Italians.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Berrettini last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.37Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has played in 3 of Rune 5 previous matches
2.21Tip and bets
Rune looks like the better option to win this matchup. The Dane has been showing more consistency lately and has a more diverse arsenal of shots. His aggressive style and ability to dictate the terms on the court could be decisive factors in this match. Berrettini is certainly dangerous on his serve, but has been struggling with his return and physical form lately.
Our prediction is Rune victory with odds of 2.29
Bet on total
Both tennis players have a good powerful serve in their arsenal. So we expect that their upcoming face-to-face match will go beyond three sets. It should be noted that the two previous face-to-face encounters between Berrettini and Rune were high-scoring.
The second betting tip is total over 40 games for odds of 1.75
Bet on the first set
In three of Rune last five matches, the first set has seen more than 9.5 games played. We expect the upcoming meeting with Berrettini to also start with a high first set.
Betting Tip - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.53
