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Arnaldi - Musetti. Prediction for the Australian Open match
Arnaldi and Musetti will meet in the first round of the Australian Open on January 14. Hard courts continue to be Musetti Achilles heel. At the tournament in Hong Kong, the Italian confirmed this trend, losing in the quarterfinals to the less famous Munyar. How will the Australian Open go for Lorenzo? - bets on this match are in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Matteo Arnaldi
ItalyCurrent form
At the start of the new season, Arnaldi took part in the tournament in Brisbane. As part of those competitions, the Italian played two matches - in the first round, he beat Alexei Popyrin, after which he lost to Reilly Opelka. Last season, on open hard courts, Matteo had 17 wins and 13 losses.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi is a promising Italian tennis player who lacks a powerful serve and shot power to perform more consistently on hard courts. His game is built on defense, thanks to which Matteo is able to get even the most difficult balls. Excellent speed and tenacity help him win long rallies, but to reach a new level, the Italian needs to improve his attacking actions.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi is the 39th racket of the world. Matteo has won six trophies in his career. He won three of them in 2023 - he won on the open hard in Tenerife and won two clay challengers, which took place in Murcia and Heilbronn.
Interesting facts for betting
Arnaldi has lost 10 of his last 15 matches against top-20 players.
Lorenzo Musetti
ItalyCurrent form
Musetti started the new season at a tournament in Hong Kong. At that tournament, he won in the first round against Gabriel Diallo, after which he lost to Jaume Munyar. On open hard courts last season, the Italian had 13 wins and 12 losses.
Professional qualities
Musetti is one of the most versatile players of his generation. The Italian prefers to play from the back line, initiating attacks with a confident forehand. This stroke is his main weapon - Lorenzo is equally dangerous with both cross strokes and transfers along the line. It is also worth noting his backhand, which is also a reliable tool in rallies. However, one of the problems remains excessive self-confidence: frequent attempts to finish the rally from an unprepared position lead to a large number of unforced errors.
Current indicators in the tour
Musetti is the 15th racket in the world. During his career, the Italian has won six trophies, two of which are ATP categories. Lorenzo won his last title in 2020 at the competition in Naples, in the final of which he beat Matteo Berrettini.
Interesting facts for betting
Musetti has won 10 of his last 14 Grand Slam matches.
Trends
Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has paid off in 3 of Musetti 5 previous matches
1.98Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Arnaldi last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.28Tip and bets
Arnaldi is a comfortable opponent for Musetti. Lorenzo has beaten his compatriot three times in his career. Even though the upcoming match will be played on an open hard court, we still suggest betting on Musetti in this pair.
Our betting tip is Musetti to win with a handicap of (-3) games at odds of 1.94
Bet on total
Arnaldi and Musetti have met three times in their careers. Their last face-to-face meeting took place in 2023 at the tournament in Bastad and was played in three games. It seems to us that the upcoming match between the Italians will follow a similar scenario.
The second betting tip is total over 38 games with odds of 1.84
Bet on the first set
Three of Musetti last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games, and the upcoming match against Arnaldi is likely to start with a low first set as well.
Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.83
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