LiontipsOttawa vs. Dallas. NHL match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Ottawa is in 11th place in the Eastern Conference and has 43 points. The team has an excellent chance of making the playoffs this season and is literally three points behind the top eight. Lately, their game has not been going well at all, and they have faced a series of four defeats, so it is far from certain that they will be able to recover in the near future, because they are expecting meetings with very difficult and unpleasant opponents ahead.
The Senators had previously lost to St. Lous (0:4) and Detroit (2:3 OT) on the road, and had been soundly defeated by Buffalo (0:4) on their home court. Only in the final matchup with Pittsburgh did the Canadians pull themselves together and, unexpectedly for many, dealt with their opponent on the road with a score of 5:0, while getting away without a single missed puck. That day was also successful for Shane Pinto, who scored twice.
However, on the home court, Travis Green team is not performing as well as its fans would like, since it has managed to win only eight victories within 60 minutes. Ottawa is having the worst time of the year in the decisive twenty minutes, in which it has a 36:48 ratio of goals scored and goals conceded. But the club is doing well in the majority and currently has a 23.9% power play rate, ranking ninth in the league in this indicator.
Disqualifications and injuries
Hamonic, Ullmark, Bernard-Docker, Gregor, Perron and Amadio will not be able to take part in the upcoming meeting
Interesting trends for betting
- Ottawa gets 8.68 penalty minutes per game.
Canadians are usually sent off at least four or five times per game.
- Ottawa averages 30 shots per game
The Senators spend a lot of time in the offensive zone and try to threaten the opponent goal at least 30 times.
Current form
Dallas remains one of the leaders of the Western Conference and is in fourth place in the standings. The team has been demonstrating great results for a long period of time and is on a long winning streak, so now it is definitely not ready to stop there. At the same time, it continued to win, even going on the road, and has already managed to win three victories in the current series of away matches.
Let us recall that the stars dealt with Utah at home (3:2 OT), then beat the Rangers (5:4 OT), Philadelphia (4:1) on the road, and also proved their superiority over Montreal in a tough fight with a score of 2:1 in a shootout. In the last two cases, Peter DeBoer team showed excellent play in defense and was left with only one missed puck. It is impossible not to note the actions of Jake Oettinger, who parried a total of 30 shots in the same confrontation with the tricolor.
Overall, the club remains the best in the West at the moment in terms of defense and has the fewest goals conceded. As a rule, even away, the team rarely concedes more than twice. Dallas is most powerful in the second twenty minutes, in which it has a 47:34 ratio of goals scored and conceded, so it knows how and likes to play with the far benches. The Stars also play well in the minority and currently have 84.6% of the opponent power play neutralization, which is an excellent indicator by league standards.
Disqualifications and injuries
Seguin and Marchment will be out of the upcoming meeting due to injury
Interesting trends for betting
- Dallas averages 6.59 penalty minutes per game.
Sheriffs are usually removed no more than three times per game.
- Dallas statistically allows 26 shots on goal
The team does not allow the opponent to shoot many shots at their goal and manages to block many shots
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.85Bet 2nd period: away team win
In three out of five matches, the visitors achieved success in the second period
2.45Tip and bets
In our opinion, Dallas has excellent chances for a favorable outcome in this confrontation. The Stars are in great shape and continue to win match after match, while the Canadians have just come off a losing streak. The clubs have already met recently, and then the Sheriffs dealt with their opponent in class within the regular time. The Stars are now much higher in terms of play, and in meetings with such opponents they must achieve success if they want to consolidate their position in the top three of the Western Conference.
Prediction - Dallas win with handicap (0) for 1.69
Bet on individual total
In previous games, Ottawa, as a rule, showed mediocre efficiency and could not score more than two goals. Dallas, in turn, was distinguished by a good game in defense, and, in general, this season the guests are doing well in their own zone and usually do not allow the opponent to score three times. We think that the Senators will not be able to open the opponent defense three times either.
We bet on Ottawa individual total under 2.5 goals for 1.87
Total Bet
The last matches with Dallas' participation were often low-scoring. The Sheriffs showed a good game in defense, but they themselves did not score much in response. Ottva, in turn, also played four previous matches with less than six goals scored. We think that in the final confrontation within the away series, the stars will not take many risks, so we expect to see a minimum number of goals in this game.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks with a coefficient of 2.05
