LiontipsReal Madrid vs Mallorca. Prediction (odds 2.95) and bets on the Spanish Super Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
Real Madrid's 2025 season started on a high note as they snatched a 2-1 win over Valencia in La Liga despite Vinicius Junior being sent off. Luka Modric became the oldest player to score for the club, highlighting his importance even in the twilight of his career. Carlo Ancelotti's side continue to show their depth despite injury problems after playing three games in a week.
Real Madrid won the Spanish Super Cup last season, beating arch-rivals Barcelona 4-1 in the final. Without key defenders David Alaba, Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao, https://www.realmadrid.com/en-US target=_blank rel=noopener>Real are struggling to find a way to strengthen their squad as soon as possible. However, their main goal is to defend their Spanish Super Cup title, and to do so they must beat last season's Copa del Rey finalists Mallorca.
Disqualifications and injuries
Will not be able to take part in the match: David Alaba (knee injury), Dani Carvajal (ankle injury), Eder Militao (cruciate ligament injury), Vinicius Junior (ligament injury), Ferland Mendy (muscle injury)
Interesting trends for betting
- Real Madrid have scored at least two goals in their last four home games in all competitions
- In the last six head-to-head meetings with Mallorca, Real Madrid have won five, scoring an average of more than two goals per match
- Rodrigo has hit form, scoring in his last two matches in a row and being directly involved in four goals in his last five games against Mallorca
Probable line-up: Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vazquez, Antonio Rudiger, Federico Valverde, Fran Garcia – Aurélien Tchouaméni, Luka Modric, Jude Bellingham – Rodrygo, Kylian Mbappe, Brahim Diaz
Current form
Mallorca enter the Spanish Super Cup semi-finals after a shock 3-0 defeat to Pontevedra in the Copa del Rey. That defeat last week was a disappointment, especially considering Javier Aguirre's men finished 2024 with two La Liga titles.
Despite this, the team will be looking to bounce back and put their best foot forward against a formidable opponent. Mallorca's history in the Super Cup includes a triumph in 1998 and the 2003 final, where they lost to Real Madrid. However, Mallorca have only won once in their last eight meetings with the Madrid side, highlighting the difficulty of the upcoming match.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mallorca will be without several key players against Real: Asano (thigh injury), Larin (knee injury), Maffeo (muscle injury) and Muriqui (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- In Mallorca's last six matches in all competitions, the second half has been more productive
- Abdon Prats has become a versatile attacking player, alternating goals with penalties and headers, making him a threat to opposing defences
Estimated lineup: Greif - Mojica, Copete, Raillo, Morey - Pichu, Darder, Samu, Morlanes, Gomez - Prats
Trends
Bet Exact score 4:1
Two of the last four head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In 3 of Real Madrid's last 5 matches, goals were scored in both halves
1.82Bet Corners: total over 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
The Spanish Super Cup semi-final match between Real Madrid and Mallorca is expected to be an exciting encounter on January 9, 2025. Both teams have strong attacking lines, which makes the probability of a high-scoring match high. Real Madrid, with their star-studded squad, are looking to continue their winning streak after beating Valencia in La Liga. In recent games, the Madrid team has shown an aggressive style of play, scoring at least two goals in each of their last three home matches.
At the same time, Mallorca has shown good attacking efficiency, especially away from home, where they have consistently found a way to the opponents’ goal despite defensive problems. The history of meetings between these teams also points to a high probability of a large number of goals. Five of the last eight matches between them have seen three or more goals scored. Given the importance of the semi-final and the motivation of both sides, the match promises to be full of scoring opportunities.
Betting Tip - total over three goals with odds of 2.11
Bet on the outcome
The semi-final clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca in the Spanish Super Cup promises to be an exciting one, but the difference in quality between the teams is clear. Real are in excellent form, regularly showing off a powerful attack and high scoring performance. After beating Valencia in La Liga, they will be looking to extend their dominance and reach the final. Mallorca, on the other hand, are struggling, especially against the top clubs. Their defence often makes mistakes under pressure, which could be disastrous against a formidable opponent like Real. Given Real’s attacking prowess and their ability to create numerous scoring chances, they can be expected to control the game and secure a comfortable victory.
Betting Tip - Asian handicap (-2) on Real Madrid and we bet on it at odds of 2.95
Betting on shots on target
Given the attacking potential of both teams, especially Real Madrid, we can expect a significant number of shots on goal. Real often dominates these games, creating many dangerous moments. In recent games, they regularly made more than 10 shots on target, and this match should be no exception. Mallorca, despite their status as underdogs, can respond with counterattacks and try their hand at rare forays to the opponent's goal. Therefore, the overall number of shots on target can exceed the average for such matches.
Betting Tip - total shots on target over 11.5, bet with odds of 1.90
