LiontipsLudmila Samsonova vs Emma Navarro. Prediction and bets on the WTA match Adelaide
Command Analysis
Current form
Last week in Brisbane, Samsonova did not show her best, losing in the opening match to Polina Kudermetova in three sets. In Adelaide, Lyudmila had a difficult tournament grid from the first round, in the matches against Buzkova and Bencic she was an underdog for the bookmakers, but she was able to win difficult victories in three-set battles. It should be noted that for the first time in her career on local courts, the Russian made it to the quarterfinals.
Professional qualities
Ludmila relies on a powerful serve and strong ambidextrous shots in her game. When she is in form, it is very difficult to contain her attacking impulses. Now is the time, it seems, when Samsonova is gradually gaining momentum, although victories do not come easy for her.
Current indicators in the tour
Samsonova is ranked 26th in the world, although last season was not her most successful. It was on the open hard court in 2024 that she showed her weakest results - 12 wins and 15 losses.
Interesting facts for betting
- All three matches this season involving Samsonova featured three sets
- Two of the Russian tennis player's last three matches were played in tie-breaks
Current form
Navarro, like her upcoming opponent, started the new season last week in Brisbane. In her first match of that competition, the American suffered a sensational defeat from Birrell (5-7, 5-7). In Adelaide, Emma began her tournament journey right from the second round and managed to snatch victory in a difficult battle with Alexandrova (7-6, 6-4). It should be noted that Navarro is performing at these competitions for the first time in her career.
Professional qualities
Emma has decent speed, excellent footwork and stamina, which helps her feel comfortable on the baseline in long rallies when trading shots. She is inconsistent on her serve.
Current indicators in the tour
Navarro has made significant progress in recent years and is currently ranked eighth in the world, her best ever. She had an impressive 32-14 record on outdoor hard courts last year.
Interesting facts for betting
- Navarro's two matches this year have featured more than 21 games
- Four of the American's previous five matches on open hard courts have been played to a minimum number of sets
Trends
Match Tie-Break Bet – Yes
Tie-breaks have been played in two of Samsonova's previous three matches
3.15Rate Set Result: 1>2
That's the scenario that's played out in three of Navarro's last five outdoor hard court matches.
2.25Tip and bets
In Adelaide, Samsonova passed Buzkova and Bencic in the tournament grid, the Russian is clearly gradually gaining solid form, it will not be so easy for Emma to cope with her powerful blows. Moreover, the American herself does not have a strong enough serve in her arsenal, Lyudmila can quite regularly knock her out of the return. We think that bookmakers in this pair are somewhat underestimating the representative of Russia.
Our prediction is Samsonova's victory with odds of 2.15
Bet on total
Samsonova has traded winning sets with her opponents in all three matches since the start of the season. Navarro has played two matches in 2025 in which more than 21 games were played. There is a high probability that we will see a protracted confrontation in the upcoming quarterfinals.
The second bet is total over 21 games for 1.73
Bet on the first set
Samsonova has played two tie-breaks since the start of the year. Navarro played the maximum number of games in one of the sets in the previous match with Alexandrova. We think we may well see a tie-break in this quarterfinal.
Betting Tip - tie-break in the match - yes with odds of 3.15
