LiontipsHanfmann vs Nakashima. ATP Adelaide Match Prediction and Betting Tips
Command Analysis
Current form
Hanfmann made it to the main draw of the Adelaide tournament through qualifying. In the qualifying round, Yannick beat Hugo Gaston and dealt with Manuel Guinard in two sets. This season, the German has four wins in five matches on open hard courts.
Professional qualities
Hanfmann is a tall player with a good serve who prefers to play on clay courts. On slow courts he has plenty of time to set up his shots well, but on faster surfaces he struggles. However, when in good shape and on open hard courts he can hit deep shots under the baseline, causing problems for opponents.
Current indicators in the tour
Hanfmann is on the verge of leaving the top 100 of the world rankings. The past season was not the best in the German's career. The last time Yannick won a trophy was in 2020. Then he won the Challenger in Todi, in the final of which he beat Bernabe Zapata Miralles. For Hanfmann, this was the 12th title in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Hanfmann has four wins in his last five matches.
Current form
Nakashima took part in the competition in Hong Kong last week, where he failed to overcome the starting circle. In the first round, let us recall, Brandon lost to Lorenzo Sonego. Let us note that last season on open hard courts the American had positive statistics - 24 wins with 12 losses.
Professional qualities
Nakashima is a typical American player who builds his game around his serve and forehand. Playing at the net is not his strong point, he prefers to operate from the baseline, where his confidence in rallies allows him to effectively keep the ball in play. The American is well-adapted to the conditions on open hard courts, which gives him a good chance of success on this surface.
Current indicators in the tour
Nakashima is ranked 37th in the world rankings. The American tennis player finished last season with a positive balance - 61 wins and 32 losses. And he won one trophy - at the beginning of the year he won the Challenger in Tenerife. For him, this was the eighth title in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Nakashima has lost 8 of his last 10 fights.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Hanfmann's last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.32Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has paid off in 3 of Nakashima's last 5 matches
1.84Tip and bets
Nakashima is certainly the clear favorite in this pair, since the duel will be held on hard. However, the American's current playing condition does not inspire confidence. Hanfmann looks a little better at the start of the new season. At the very least, the German is able to cling to a positive handicap in the upcoming duel.
Our prediction is Hanfmann's victory with a handicap of (+4) games at odds of 1.73
Bet on total
Nakashima is the favorite, but his current game conditions leave much to be desired. Therefore, we expect Hanfmann to fight the American for the victory and, as a result, the duel will be on top.
The second betting tip is total over 23 games for odds of 2.03
Bet on the first set
Three of Nakashima's last five matches have seen the first set go to more than 9.5 games, and his upcoming match against Hanfmann is likely to start with a top first set as well.
Betting Tip - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.61
