Diallo vs Sonego. Prediction and bets on the ATP Auckland match

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Gabriel DialloCanada
Lorenzo SonegoItaly
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Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego
Diallo and Sonego will meet in the first round of the tournament in Auckland on January 7. Diallo has demonstrated excellent form at the beginning of the season, having won several convincing victories. Open hard is his element, and he feels most comfortable on this surface. Sonego is certainly an experienced tennis player, but his game is better revealed on slow surfaces. What bets should you pay attention to in this match? - find out in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Gabriel Diallo

Current form

Diallo took part in a tournament in Hong Kong last week, where he managed to get from the qualification to the second round - at this stage of the competition he lost to Lorenzo Musetti. Last season, we recall, Gabriel had 30 wins and 12 losses on open hard courts.

Professional qualities

Diallo prefers fast courts, where he can show off his strengths to the fullest. His main assets are found on hard courts. Gabriel has a sharp forehand, which is especially dangerous when hitting from the half-court. The Canadian's backhand is also at a decent level and can bring results, especially if he hits it while in the court.

Current indicators in the tour

Diallo won the Chicago Challenger last year, beating Bu Yunchaokete in the final. It was the Canadian's fifth ATP title in his career. Gabriel is currently ranked 87th in the world.

Interesting facts for betting

Diallo has won three of his last four matches.

Lorenzo Sonego

Current form

Sonego played two matches at the tournament in Hong Kong last week, beating Brandon Nakashima in the first round before losing to Cameron Norrie. Last season, Lorenzo won 10 games and lost 14 on open hard courts.

Professional qualities

Sonego is a confident player on all surfaces, but began his career as a clay specialist. This is where the Italian gets his good baseline game and high speed in rallies. Lorenzo has a powerful forehand and a stable first serve, which often helps him score important points. However, the Italian's weak point remains his backhand.

Current indicators in the tour

Sonego finished the last season with a negative balance - 27 wins against 33 losses. However, this did not prevent him from winning the title. He won the trophy at a major tournament held in Winston-Salem. In the final of that competition, he beat Alex Mickelsen. This was the fourth ATP title in his career. Lorenzo is currently ranked 54th in the world.

Interesting facts for betting

Only 1 of Sonego's last 7 matches has gone to three sets.

Trends

Rate Set Result: 2>1

In 3 of Diallo's last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario

2.39
2.39

Bet Tie-break in the match - yes

This bet has played in 3 of Sonego's 5 previous matches

1.59
1.59

Tip and bets

TipDiallo's Victory
1.91

We suggest giving preference to Diallo in this pair. After all, he started the new season more convincingly, has already won several victories and, in general, open hard is more comfortable for him than for Sonego, who prefers to play on a slow surface.

Our prediction is Diallo's victory with odds of 1.91

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TipTotal over 23
1.74

Bet on total

We expect a fight in this confrontation. The tennis players are approximately equal in terms of their level of play, so most likely, the face-to-face confrontation will be decided in three sets.

The second betting tip is total over 23 games for odds of 1.74

Bet on the first set

Three of Sonego's last five matches have seen the first set go over 9.5 games, and the upcoming match against Diallo is likely to start with a similarly high first set.

Betting Tip - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.47

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Betting predictions stat

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Total tips18
% of profit0.13%
Win percentage50.00%
Average coefficient1.79
Wins50.00%  (9)
Refunds11.11%  (2)
Loses38.89%  (7)
Total tips199
% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)