LiontipsOurense vs Valladolid. Spanish Cup match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Orense is a mid-table team in the RFEF Segunda, but the current season has been unsuccessful for the team. Ruben Dominguez team is in penultimate place in Group 1, having scored 18 points in 18 rounds. In the last round of the championship, the team lost to Real Sociedad B (1:2), despite the equal nature of the game. However, in the Spanish Cup, Orense managed to show character. In the 1/32 finals, the club sensationally knocked Deportivo La Coruña out of the tournament, winning with a minimal score (1:0). The decisive goal in the 87th minute was scored by Sanchez, which speaks of the team ability to fight until the final whistle.
Disqualifications and injuries
All key team players are in action.
Interesting trends for betting
- Orense have scored at least one goal in 4 of their last 5 matches
- In 3 of the team last 4 matches, fewer than 2.5 goals were recorded
Estimated lineup: Escobar - Mendez, Anez, Echevarria, Caballero - Hernanes, Flores, Padron, Gonzalez - Sanchez, Rivera
Current form
Real Valladolid continue to struggle in La Liga, sitting bottom with 12 points after 16 games. Diego Cocchi side are not known for their goalscoring or defensive prowess, which is reflected in their worst performance in La Liga in terms of both goals scored and conceded. In their last league game, the Viola lost to Girona (0:3), once again demonstrating a weak defensive performance. However, Valladolid are showing character in the Copa del Rey. In the 1/32 finals, the team beat Real Avila in extra time: after regular time (2:2), Marcos Andre and Perez scored two decisive goals in the 111th and 119th minutes, which ensured their progress to the next stage.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are no injured players on the team.
Interesting trends for betting
- Valladolid have conceded an average of two goals per game in their last five games
- In the last two matches the team did not score a single goal in regular time
Probable lineup: Ein-Rocha, Cumart, Sanchez, Bach-Perez, Molo, Amara-Sanchez, Marcos Andre, Sylla
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the hosts' last five matches, goals were scored in one of the halves
1.62Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
This bet has been successful in three of Valladolid previous five matches
1.39Bet Exact score 0:1
Two of the last six matches between the rivals ended with this score.
14.90Bet Number 1 in the final score
This option was used in three of the guests' seven matches
1.99Tip and bets
Orense and Valladolid approach this match with different motivations. The hosts are playing at home and will be looking to make the most of their advantage, while the visitors, in a crisis situation in La Liga, will most likely field a rotating lineup. Both teams have demonstrated cautious and low-scoring football in their recent matches, which is reflected in the statistics: Orense has not scored more than one goal in seven of the last eight games, and Valladolid has played with a total of under 2.5 in the last two matches of regular time in the Spanish Cup. Given the emphasis on defense and the general low scoring of both teams, we can expect that the game will be held in a restrained manner and will not bring great scoring achievements.
Our prediction is total goals under 2.5 with odds of 1.85
Bet on the outcome
Despite the failures in Primera, Valladolid has a quality squad capable of overcoming the resistance of weaker opponents. The Spanish Cup is a chance for the "violet" to rehabilitate themselves a little for the failures in La Liga, and Diego Cocchi team will certainly come out motivated. Orense, in turn, is fighting for survival in its division and is unlikely to cope with a superior opponent, even if they use rotation.
Our prediction is a Valladolid victory in regular time with odds of 1.89
Bet on statistics
Copa del Rey matches between teams of different levels are rarely marked by a high number of fouls, especially in the early stages of the tournament. Both teams try to avoid rough play, and in recent matches neither Ourense nor Valladolid have received more than two yellow cards per match. Given the difference in class, the game could be relatively calm.
Our prediction is total under 4.5 yellow cards with odds of 1.85
