LiontipsOpelka vs Lehechka. Prediction and bets on the ATP Brisbane match
Command Analysis
Current form
Opelka broke the resistance of Giovanni Mpeshi (6-3, 7-6) in the semi-finals of the competition in Brisbane. In the confrontation with the Frenchman, he performed 12 aces, converted one break point and did not lose a single game on his serve. Before that, the American had beaten Novak Djokovic, Matteo Arnaldi and Federico Gomez in the tournament grid.
Professional qualities
Opelka powerful serve is the key to success in most matches. The American consistently holds his games thanks to a powerful ball input, both with the first and second serve, and the kick serve adds variability and makes it difficult for opponents to receive. Despite his impressive size, Reilly is by no means hopeless on the return - if necessary, he can surprise with a sharp counterpunch. Based on the tournament in Brisbane, one can conclude that Opelka has noticeably worked on his movement around the court in the off-season.
Current indicators in the tour
Before the start of the tournament in Brisbane, Opelka was ranked 293rd in the world. Following the competition, he will enter the top 200. Previously, we recall, the American was 17th. The last time Reilly won the title was in 2022. Then he won on clay in Houston, where he beat John Isner in the final.
Interesting facts for betting
Opelka played a total of four tie-breaks in four matches.
Current form
Lehechka reached the final of the tournament in Brisbane after Grigor Dimitrov withdrew from the match at 4-6, 4-4. In 1 hour and 18 minutes of playing time, Jiri hit four aces, converted one break point and did not lose a single game. Earlier in the tournament, the Czech tennis player beat Nicholas Jarry, Yoshihito Nishioka and Holger Rune.
Professional qualities
Lehečka is a representative of the classic Czech school of tennis with a clay base. He is used to compensating for the lack of an aggressive backhand by frequently running under the forehand, which is especially effective on slow surfaces with a high bounce. However, on hard courts, this style requires more subtle adjustments, and here Jiri has improved greatly in recent seasons. His serve has become an important tool that allows him to score easy points and confidently hold his games even on fast surfaces.
Current indicators in the tour
Lehechka is currently ranked 26th in the world rankings. In his career, we recall, Jiri has won one ATP title so far. It was last season victory at the Adelaide tournament, which he will have to defend next week.
Interesting facts for betting
Lehechka won the first set in all four matches in Brisbane.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Opelka last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.82Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has played in 3 of Lehechka 5 previous matches
1.13Tip and bets
Lehechka is on a roll and is having a good week. However, in the final he will face Opelka with his powerful serve, which even Djokovic couldn't handle. We consider Reilly the favorite in the upcoming final and bet on him.
Our prediction is Opelka victory with odds of 2.21
Bet on total
Opelka has won all his matches on the courts of Brisbane in two sets. In two sets, we recall, he beat Djokovic and a tennis player with a powerful serve like himself, Mpeshi. We believe that Reilly can also finish the final match in his favor in two sets.
The second forecast is total under 25 games for odds of 1.91
Bet on the first set
In three of Lehechka last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We believe that the upcoming meeting with Opelka will also start with a "top" first set.
Forecast - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.17
