LiontipsLogrones vs. Athletic. Prediction (odds 2.05) and bets on the Spanish Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
Logroñes continues to demonstrate decent results in Segunda Federation and ranks fourth in its group, which keeps its chances of participating in the promotion playoffs. The team is eight points behind the leader, and in the last round it tied with Alfaro (0:0). Logroñes' main successes are associated with games on its home field, where Felix Revuelta team has not yet known defeat this season. At the 1/32 final stage of the Spanish Cup, Logroñes created a sensation by knocking Girona out of the competition. Regular time ended goalless (0:0), and in the penalty shootout, Revuelta charges showed composure and advanced to the next stage of the tournament.
Disqualifications and injuries
All football players are at the disposal of the head coach.
Interesting trends for betting
- Logrones have kept clean sheets in three of their last four matches
- The team has scored in two of its last three home games
- Logrones have not lost in their last five home games
Estimated lineup: Daza - Ugarte, Monreal, Saenz, Iribaren - Lopez, Caballero, Galda - Fachin, Lupu, Aliaga
Current form
Athletic Bilbao have been in great form this season, confidently occupying fourth place in La Liga, which allows them to count on participating in the Champions League. In the last round before the winter break, Ernesto Valverde team won a strong-willed away victory over Osasuna (2:1), showing character and stability. The Basque club is also performing well in the Europa League. In their last match, the Lions beat Fenerbahce (2:0), demonstrating reliability in defense and effectiveness in attack. This adds confidence before the start of the Spanish Cup, where the match against Logrones will be the first one for Athletic in this competition.
Injuries and disqualifications
The team will be without Unai Simon (wrist injury), Ojan Sunset (thigh injury) and Yuri Berchiche (knee injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Nico Williams is in great form, regularly creating dangerous chances and scoring important goals
- Athletic have kept clean sheets in three of their last five away games in all competitions
- The Basque side are unbeaten in their last four games against lower-division opponents in the Copa del Rey
Estimated lineup: Padilla - Vivian, Pacheco, Lecue, Balenciaga - Vesga, Garcia, Zarraga - Muniain, Williams, Gurrusa
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:3
The hosts have had this score in two of their last ten matches
6.55Bet Goals in both halves – no
In 3 of Athletic last 5 matches, goals were not scored in both halves
2.15Bet Corners: total over 9.5
In 3 of the last 6 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.78Tip and bets
The upcoming meeting between Logrones and Athletic Bilbao in the Spanish Cup promises to be tense and spectacular. The hosts, representing Segunda Federation, have shown their fighting ability in the previous stages of the tournament, sensationally knocking out Girona. Logrones consistently demonstrates reliability in defense at home, as well as the ability to score, which was especially evident in the Cup. Athletic, despite the status of favorites, may face certain difficulties.
The Basque club rotate their matches in the Cup, which sometimes reduces their defensive compactness. However, the attack of Ernesto Valverde team remains high, thanks to the bright form of Nico Williams and the skill of experienced players. Given Logroñes' home form and Athletic attacking potential, we expect both teams to find their chances in front of the opponent goal. In Athletic last five matches in all competitions, the team has only managed to keep a clean sheet in one.
Prediction - both teams will score with odds of 2.05
Bet on the outcome
Athletic Bilbao are approaching the match as clear favourites. Ernesto Valverde team is showing a confident game, which is confirmed by recent victories in La Liga and European Cups. The Basques are famous for their discipline and organization, especially in matches with opponents from the lower divisions. Logrones, although they achieved success in the previous rounds of the Cup, including a sensational knockout of Girona, are objectively inferior in class. Even with the support of the home stands, it will be difficult for the hosts to contain the powerful attacking line of the Lions. It is important to note that Athletic is used to deciding the outcome of such matches in regular time, so as not to take risks in the later stages. We expect a confident victory for the Basques with a difference of at least two goals, given the difference in the level of the teams and the current form of the guests.
Forecast - Asian handicap (-1) for Athletic and we bet on it at odds of 1.75
Bet on corners
The game between Logrones and Athletic promises to be full of moments at the hosts' goal. The Basques actively use the flanks for attacks, which traditionally leads to a large number of corners. The average number of corners for Athletic in the last five matches is 6.8 per game, and in the Spanish Cup this figure may be even higher due to the dominance in attack. Logrones, in turn, will not only defend. In matches against strong opponents, the hosts try to respond with counterattacks, which also increases the likelihood of set pieces. Given the activity of both sides, a high total of corners can be expected.
Forecast: total corners over 9.5 at odds of 1.90
