LiontipsAston Villa vs Leicester. Prediction and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
After a home win over Manchester City (2:1), Aston Villa failed to win in the next two rounds. Away against Newcastle, who were on impressive form, they had no chance (0:3). But at home against Brighton, the Villans were clearly counting on three points and were close to it, as they were leading until the 81st minute, but could not hold on to the advantage (2:2).
As a result, Unai Emery men are approaching the start of the 20th round only in ninth place in the table with 29 points to their credit. The gap to sixth-placed Manchester City is only two points, and the top 4 is already six points away. The Birmingham team has been playing successfully at home throughout the season, having scored 19 points out of their total 29 points.
Disqualifications and injuries
Duran and Rogers are suspended. Torres will miss the game due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Aston Villa have failed to win in the first half in four of their last five matches
- Seven of Birmingham previous eight Premier League games have seen at least three goals scored
- Both teams have scored in 11 of Aston Villa last 14 home Premier League games
Probable line-up: Martinez - Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne - Onana, Tielemans, Kamara - McGinn, Watkins, Ramsey.
Current form
Immediately after Ruud van Nistelrooy took over as coach, Leicester had a couple of good matches, but then a serious decline followed, the game is not going well either in attack or defense. In four rounds in a row, the Foxes lost with a total score of 1:12. This is clearly not the result that the fans and management expected. Now all hopes are pinned on the upcoming transfer window and strengthening the squad. There is a lot of information in the press now about the team showing interest in Manchester United players, whom Ruud van Nistelrooy knows well: Maguire, Collier and Lindelof.
For now, Leicester are in the relegation zone in 19th place with 14 points. The situation is not yet critical, as they are only two points away from the saving 17th place.
Disqualifications and injuries
Fatawu, Pereira, Ndidi, Hermansen and McAteer will miss the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Leicester have been losing in the first half in four of their last five matches
- The Foxes have won just one of their last 11 Premier League matches.
- Eight of Leicester previous nine Premier League games have featured at least three goals
Probable line-up: Stolarczyk - Justin, Coady, Vestergaard, Christensen - Soumare, Winks - Buonanotte, El Hannous, Mavididi - Vardy.
Trends
Bet Total corners over 10.5
The stake has played in six of Aston Villa last eight home Premier League games
1.81Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
Two of Leicester previous three matches have seen at least two goals scored in the opening 45 minutes
2.18Bet Exact score 4:0
Leicester have suffered three clean sheets in their last four defeats
8.80Tip and bets
Aston Villa have failed to win in two rounds in a row, which will clearly add motivation to the players. Today, the Birmingham team will have a great opportunity to please their fans at home. Leicester is currently in the process of restructuring, there are no flashes of light in the game, as evidenced by a series of four defeats in a row, when they managed to score only one goal with 12 conceded. We think that Unai Emery charges are capable of dealing with such an opponent on their home field with class.
Our prediction is Aston Villa to win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) at odds of 1.92
Bet on total
Leicester defense is a complete failure, the team has conceded 12 goals in the last four matches. Aston Villa plays first number on their home field, bets on attack and is quite capable of beating the total set by bookmakers even on their own.
The second bet is total over three goals with odds of 1.76
Yellow Card Betting
Another promising trend to note is yellow cards. Seven of Aston Villa previous nine home Premier League games have seen at least five yellows, which is what we expect today.
Forecast - total yellow cards over 4.5 with odds of 1.70
