LiontipsSeverstal vs. Dynamo Moscow. KHL match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Severstal had been showing weak results for a long period of time and actually failed the end of autumn. Andrey Kozyrev charges got down to business before the break and returned to fourth place in the conference. Now the steelmakers have 50 points after 40 games played and they can get closer to CSKA and other leaders of the West and other leaders of the West. After the Channel One Cup, the Cherepovets team beat Sochi twice (4:2 and 2:1) and won a beautiful, strong-willed victory over Avtomobilist, coming back from a 0:2 score at the start of the first period (3:2). Having finished the home series of games with a victory over Neftekhimik (4:1), the club from the Vologda Region played in Ufa (0:2) and Kazan (3:2).
The Black and Yellows have been doing well on their own half of the ice this stretch of the season. They have conceded only seven goals in the previous four games, and goalies Aleksandr Samoilov and Konstantin Shostak have significantly improved their save percentage. It was Samoilov who took to the ice in the last game against Ak Bars and, after a poor start, regularly saved his teammates in the remaining time.
Kirill Pilipenko remains the top scorer of the club from the Vologda region. The forward scored 35 points (18+17) and occupies the seventh place in the list of the most productive hockey players in the NHL. Daniil Aymurzin, who is in excellent shape and has been involved in scoring goals for seven games in a row, has come close to him. The young forward has 34 points (21+13) in the goal+pass system.
Disqualifications and injuries
Adam Liszka will not help his teammates in the game against the Muscovites.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal gets five minutes of penalty time per match
The team is currently the most disciplined in the league.
- Severstal has 84.9% neutralization of the opponent power play
The Cherepovets team is in sixth place in the championship in terms of playing while short-handed.
Current form
The Dynamo players had a terrible end to 2024 and dropped to seventh place in the Western Conference table. The Muscovites were left with 49 points after 40 games and are only one point away from fourth place. The White-Blues were unable to show a strong level of play at the end of December and after an unpleasant defeat to Ak Bars (5:6), they lost away to Vityaz (0:2) and Dynamo Minsk (0:1). The capital team played poorly in attack and never got past Vasily Demchenko, making 28 shots at his goal. Now Alexey Kudashov charges have four defeats in five games.
Nikita Gusev failed to score points in the previous two games and the team did not score a single goal in 120 minutes. The forward and captain of Dynamo is still among the top three scorers in the league with 37 points (14+23) in the goal+pass system. In addition to him, we can highlight Maxime Comtois, who, after a not very strong start, has sharply improved and earned 26 points.
Vladislav Pod'yapolkiy became the new main goalkeeper of the visitors after transferring from Lada. The goalkeeper played two games for his new club at the end of the year and was unable to help his partners win. At the same time, he can hardly be considered the culprit of the failures. The goalkeeper missed only three times in two games and reflected 95.46% of shots on his own territory.
Disqualifications and injuries
All visiting leaders will come to Cherepovets.
Interesting trends for betting
- Dynamo has a 22% power play percentage
The "white-blues" on average realize every fifth attempt of the majority
- Dynamo gets 8.05 minutes of penalty time
Guests are usually sent off at least four times per match
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches involving Severstal, the first period was productive
1.95Bet 3rd period: Dynamo will score
Dynamo scored against Severstal in the third period in three out of four games
1.53Tip and bets
The Dynamo players needed a break and during the holidays the visitors had to work on their mistakes. Alexey Kudashov is one of the most experienced coaches in the league and will definitely improve the situation. The White-Blues generally played well in defense, but were unable to score a single goal in the last two games. Severstal was very good at the end of December, but the steelworkers did not have the most difficult schedule. We believe that the extremely motivated Muscovites will be able to pull themselves together and take away important points from the psychological point of view from Cherepovets.
Prediction - Dynamo wins the match for 1.85
Bet on individual total
Severstal was very reliable in defense and did not concede in large numbers for a long time. Now Dynamo, which is charged with winning and also very hungry for goals, will come to visit Adam Liszka team. The Muscovites have someone to score and in addition to Nikita Gusev, the "white-blues" have many effective legionnaires.
We bet on Dynamo individual total over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.90
Total Bet
Meetings between the teams are usually not very productive. For seven matches in a row, this pair has not scored more than five goals between them. Now everything should be different, because Dynamo intends to return to its former positions in the table. We think that the guests will go forward from the first minutes and force the opponent to open up. Let play a bet on the total over.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks for 1.77
