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Pontevedra vs Mallorca. Spanish Cup match forecast
Pontevedra have won their last five matches in a row. Do the hosts have a chance of success on January 3 in the 1/16 finals of the Spanish Cup against Mallorca? Our experts have analyzed the possible scenarios and presented their forecasts for you
Command Analysis
Pontevedra
SpainCurrent form
Pontevedra have impressed in this season’s Copa del Rey, with two important wins against top-flight sides. They beat Levante 4-1 in the early stages of the competition, showing organised defence and quick counter-attacks. They then surprised many by knocking out Villarreal 1-0, thanks to a late second-half goal from de Almeida. These wins were examples of how Pontevedra can cope with tough opposition, and they have been performing at a consistent level in their league, holding on to the top spot.
Disqualifications and injuries
Suarez (thigh injury), Souza (ankle injury) and key defender Sanchez (knee injury) will be out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Pontevedra have won their last two Copa del Rey matches without conceding more than one goal
- The team last three matches have seen a total of over 2.5 goals
- At home, Pontevedra have won five of their last five meetings in all competitions
Estimated lineup: Fernandez - Hernandez, Gomez, Lopez, Carballo - Yelko Pinho, Chiqui, Samuel - Novo, Penin, Charlie.
Mallorca
SpainCurrent form
Mallorca are performing confidently in the current La Liga season, occupying a place in the middle of the standings. In the last match of the championship, the team won against Celta with a score of 2:0, demonstrating a reliable game in defense and effective counterattacks. In the previous round of the Spanish Cup, Mallorca met with UD Logroñes and won with a score of 2:1, securing their place in the next stage of the tournament.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mallorca currently have no suspended players, but defender Pablo Mafeo (muscle injury) and midfielder Idrissa Baba (ankle injury) are questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Mallorca are unbeaten in their last two matches in all competitions
- Mallorca have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in two of their last three matches
- The team has kept clean sheets in two of its last three matches.
Probable lineup: Rajkovic - Gonzalez, Valient, Railo, Costa - Rodriguez, Sanchez, Gallareta, De Galarreta - Muriqui, Lee Kang-in
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
The teams have finished two of their last eight championship matches with this score.
9.55Bet Goals in both halves - no
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the guests this type of bet took place
2.15Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 3 of Pontevedera last 5 matches
1.69Penalty bet - yes
Penalties have been awarded in two of the hosts' last six matches
2.55Tip and bets
The upcoming match is likely to be a low-key affair given the current form and style of both teams. Pontevedra, despite being underdogs, have demonstrated defensive reliability, especially at home. The team has conceded only one goal in the last three matches, including encounters with stronger opponents.
Mallorca also tend to play cautiously in cup competitions, with four of their last five Copa del Rey matches having under 2.5 goals. Given these factors and tendencies, the match is likely to be played defensively, with a minimum of dangerous moments.
Our prediction is under 2.5 goals. We bet on it with odds of 1.87
Bet on the outcome
Pontevedra have shown remarkable resilience against strong opponents, which has allowed them to beat teams like Levante and Villarreal in the Copa del Rey. The home stadium gives an additional advantage, especially in games where motivation is at its peak. Mallorca, despite their status as a La Liga team, often have difficulties in away cup matches, especially against motivated underdogs. Both teams play cautiously, focusing on the reliability of their defense. We expect the regular time to end in a draw.
The forecast is a draw, and we bet on it with odds of 3.20
Bet on the second half
In cup games, the decisive moments often happen in the second half, when teams try to take advantage of their last chance to win. Pontevedra tend to be more active towards the end of the game, while Mallorca are able to create dangerous moments when their opponents are tired. Given the cautious start and the possible increase in tempo towards the final whistle, we predict a more productive second half.
Forecast - second half: total over one goal for odds of 1.90
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