LiontipsNacional - Porto. Forecast (odds 2.05) and bets on the match of the Portuguese championship
Command Analysis
Current form
For objective reasons, Nacional could not count on anything more than keeping their place in the Primeira Liga – in terms of player selection, Thiago Magarido’s team is inferior to many of its competitors. So far, the “black and white” have coped with their task and occupy 15th place in the table with 13 points, but at the same time they are only one point away from the relegation zone. In the last round, Nacional lost 1:2 to Rio Ave away, thus suffering their ninth defeat of the season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Baeza and Thomas are injured.
Interesting trends for betting
- Nacional have not won in their last three matches – two defeats and a draw
- Nacional have scored in four of their last five matches
Probable line-up: França - Aurelio, Ulisses, Santos - Garcia, Sumaré, Costa, Gomes - Esteves, Isaac, Dudu.
Current form
Porto approached the start of the season as one of the main contenders for the championship along with Sporting and Benfica. So far, Vitor Bruno team lives up to this status and is in second place in the table with 40 points, just one point behind leader Sporting, with Benfica two points behind. In the last round, Porto crushed Boavista 4-0 in the derby, thus achieving their third consecutive victory in the championship.
Disqualifications and injuries
Niko is disqualified. Marcano and Grujic are injured.
Interesting trends for betting
- Porto have won their last three league matches
- Porto have won four of their last five away games against Nacional
Estimated line-up: Costa - Galeno, Otavio, Perez, Fernandes - Eustaquio, Souza, Pepe, Mora, Franco - Samu.
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:3
Porto have won two of their last 10 victories over Nacional by this scoreline
11.50Nacional to score in first half
In Nacional last two matches, this bet was successful
1.47Porto to score in both halves
In Porto last four matches this bet has been successful
1.95Tip and bets
Porto is level on points with Sporting, and while the Lions are in a clear crisis, the Dragons have a great opportunity to break into the lead and gain an advantage. Porto has looked very strong lately and will certainly play only to win today – Nacional is seriously inferior in class, regularly loses to its opponent in head-to-head matches, and the White and Blacks have not been able to get into shape.
We think that the hosts have no chance. Forecast - Asian handicap (-1.5) on Porto . This bet is offered with odds of 1.85
Bet on total
Porto will definitely come for a win and will probably create a lot of problems for the hosts' not very reliable defense already in the first half. It is obvious that Nacional will have to play catch-up and the "white-blacks" will probably also take risks - in the last matches they looked quite decent in attack and scored against Rio Ave and Vitoria, the hosts are quite capable of responding with one goal.
Bet - both teams to score. This bet is offered for 2.05
Bet on corners
Porto are the favourites and will probably spend the entire 90 minutes attacking – the visitors should win confidently on corners.
Bet - Asian handicap (-3) on corners for Porto. This bet is offered for 1.89
