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Kunlun vs. Vityaz: KHL Match Prediction
Moscow Region Vityaz will start in 2025 with a match against Kunlun in Mytishchi. Both teams are in the basement of the Western Conference table and are unlikely to make it to the playoffs. The teams are currently located next to each other and the winner will occupy ninth position in the West. In October, the "bogatyrs" easily beat the Beijing team on their home court. Are the Chinese capable of taking revenge? Find out from the forecast for the meeting
Command Analysis
HC Red Star Kunlun
ChinaCurrent form
The Chinese team hardly has a real chance of getting into the playoffs after such a weak start to the season. Mikhail Kravets' team is only in tenth place in the West and has a modest 36 points after 40 matches. Kunlun improved somewhat at the end of autumn and produced a series of four victories, and now the hosts have three victories in a row. Before the break, the club from Beijing played six matches on their home court, but was able to win only against Sochi (5:3). After the break, the Dragons lost to CSKA in the capital (2:3), and after returning to the Moscow region, they beat Astana Barys dry (2:0), and then sensationally beat Spartak (4:2) and Torpedo (4:3, OT).
The Chinese team remains the worst in the league in terms of defensive numbers. On average, the Chinese allow 3.5 goals per game, while at home this figure is even worse - 3.81 per game. Jeremy Smith remains the team undisputed number one. The goalie has stopped 91.23% of shots and made three shutouts this season, having spent 27 games on the ice. Kyle Keiser has been appearing on the ice quite often lately, but it is unlikely that he will be able to displace the Chinese from the main lineup, especially against the background of the last game against the "cats".
Tomáš Jurčo has been Kunlun top scorer throughout the regular season. The Slovakian forward has scored 24 goals (8+16) and is in 55th place on the KHL list of goal scorers. Tyler Graovac has scored five points less (8+11) and is also among the league top 100 offensive players.
Disqualifications and injuries
Semyon Sinyatkin was injured and will not play against the Vityazi.
Interesting trends for betting
- According to statistics, Kunlun allows at least 34 shots on their goal
Red Star usually doesn't play the best defense and doesn't have time to block shots.
- Kunlun gets 7.73 minutes of penalty time
A team is usually sent off more than three times per match.
Vityaz
Russian FederationCurrent form
Vityaz is in ninth place in the conference, with 36 points after 39 starts. Pavel Desyatkov team has only occasionally had strong stretches this season and is already six points behind eighth-placed Torpedo. The Bogatyrs did not play much in December and won only three games in the last month of the year. Vityaz played eight games in a row at home and were able to beat Torpedo (6:5, B) and Dynamo (2:0) from Moscow. The visitors went into the break having lost to Lokomotiv (3:5) and Spartak (2:4). The Moscow Region club bounced back towards the end of the first period, but then fell short in defense and was unable to earn points in the game against the red-whites.
The visitors played poorly in defense in the second half of December and conceded 23 goals in their last six starts. In five matches, the Balashikha team conceded at least three times within 60 minutes. Maxim Dorozhko was not very good in the last line and worsened his performance. The Vitki goalie reflected only 92.30% of shots, but made five shutouts this season.
Dmitry Buchelnikov remains the top scorer of the Moscow Region club. The young Russian is still in excellent shape and, despite the team weak results, scored in the last three games. The forward scored 37 times (11+22).
Disqualifications and injuries
Sergey Kalinin, Jeremy Roy, Ivan Savchik, Dan Stewart and Grigory Vaschenko will not come with the team to Mytishchi.
Interesting trends for betting
- Vityaz wins 46.9% of faceoffs
The visitors look weak at the point and often lose in this important aspect.
- The Bogatyrs shoot 25 times per game on average
The guests try to throw as much as possible and this brings the desired result.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches involving Vityaz, the first period was productive
1.90Bet 2nd period: Vityaz will score
Vityaz scored against Kunlun in the second period in the last three games
1.53Tip and bets
Kunlun finished the calendar year on a high note, but the pause is unlikely to do the hosts any good. Throughout the regular season, the Chinese have not been able to boast of stability in terms of results, and at home they have performed much weaker than away. Vityaz has several very strong attacking players, plus the visitors have a fairly reliable goalkeeper. The teams look roughly equal, but we will give preference to the "heroes". We suggest betting on the victory of the visitors in the match.
Prediction - Vityaz wins the match for 1.87
Bet on individual total
Kunlun is very weak in defense, especially in the Moscow region. The Dragons concede four times per game at the Mytishchi Arena and cannot withstand the pressure of their opponents. Vityaz can hardly be called a productive team, but the visitors have someone to score and it is not for nothing that several of the Vitki attackers are in the list of the 30 best scorers in the league. We believe that the Bogatyrs will score at least three goals.
We bet on the individual total of Vityaz over 2.5 goals for 1.85
Total Bet
In early October, the teams played extremely effectively and scored nine goals between them. Kunlun plays very brightly on the ice of Arena Mytishchi and often pleases the stands with a large number of goals. Both teams intend to consolidate their ninth place and will try to win at any cost. We expect at least six accurate shots from the opponents.
We take the total over 5.5 pucks with a coefficient of 2.07
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