LiontipsShapovalov - Nishikori. Forecast and bets for the ATP Hong Kong match
Command Analysis
Current form
Shapovalov ended the past season on a high note. In November, Denis won the title at the indoor competition in Belgrade - in the final of that tournament, he beat Hamad Medjedovic. On the open hard court in 2024, the Canadian tennis player recorded nine wins and ten losses.
Professional qualities
Shapovalov makes quick decisions on the court, which is his strong point. Left-handed, he often hits the ball at difficult angles, precisely directing it under the baseline. He also has a very powerful serve, which is difficult to control. However, one of his weaknesses is his mental instability: Denis is capable of losing a match before it even starts due to a lack of confidence.
Current indicators in the tour
Shapovalov was once ranked tenth in the world, but is now ranked 56th. The victory in Belgrade is the only trophy that Denis won last season. During his career, we recall, the Canadian has won two ATP titles.
Interesting facts for betting
Shapovalov has won eight of his last ten matches.
Current form
Nishikori played 33 matches last season. Let us recall that Kei is returning to action after hip surgery. On open hard courts last season, let us recall, the Japanese won six matches and suffered five defeats.
Professional qualities
Nishikori is a versatile player who can adapt to different situations on the court. His baseline play and serving technique are top notch. Kei makes quick decisions and does not take too long to act. In his prime, he was known for his high speed and tempo of play, but in recent years, he has been losing ground in this area.
Current indicators in the tour
Nishikori is close to returning to the top 100 of the world rankings in the near future. Earlier in his career, Kei was the fourth racket of the world. Last season, the Japanese managed to win one trophy - he won the Challenger in Helsinki. This was his 22nd title in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Three of Nishikori last four matches have ended in three sets.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Shapovalov last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.28Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has played in 3 of Nishikori previous 5 matches
1.51Tip and bets
The favorite of the match is Shapovalov. However, it is definitely not worth writing off Nishikori because of his age. Last season, the Japanese tennis player proved that he is still in perfect order and ready to compete with the younger generation. Even on fast hard. We believe that Kei will be able to cling to at least a plus handicap in this match.
Our forecast is Nishikori victory with a handicap of (+3) games at odds of 1.85
Bet on total
Shapovalova and Nishikori are well acquainted with each other game, having met on the tennis court twice in their careers. We believe that their upcoming face-to-face meeting will be a long one.
The second forecast is total over 22 games for odds of 1.99
Bet on the first set
Three of Nishikori last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. The upcoming match against Shapovalov is likely to start with a low first set as well.
Forecast - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.85
