LiontipsSonego vs Nakashima. ATP Hong Kong Match Prediction and Betting Tips
Command Analysis
Current form
Sonego played his last tournament in Metz. In that competition, Lorenzo lost in the second round, losing to Andrey Rublev. In 2024, the Italian has ten wins and 14 losses on open hard courts.
Professional qualities
Sonego has been little noticed lately. The Italian lacks not only persistence and character, but sometimes also banal luck. In terms of game aspects: Lorenzo serve has become weaker. Nevertheless, the Italian remains stable on the return. His movement on the court is approximately at the same level, as is his game at the net.
Current indicators in the tour
Sonego won the tournament in Winston-Salem last season. It was his fourth ATP title in his career. Lorenzo is currently ranked 53rd in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
8 of Sonego last 9 matches have been played in two sets.
Current form
Nakashima had three losses in a row by the end of the last season. He left the competition in Vienna at the end of the second round and lost at the start in tournaments in Paris and Belgrade. On open hard courts, the American won 24 times and suffered 12 losses last season.
Professional qualities
Nakashima, as a product of the US tennis school, focuses on serve and forehand, preferring to stay at the baseline. Last season showed him as a more versatile player, capable of playing successfully on clay as well. Despite his versatility, his main strength is still hard. For further progress, the American needs to improve his game on the return.
Current indicators in the tour
Nakashima is currently ranked 38th in the world. Brandon finished last season with one trophy won - in January he won the competition in Tenerife. For the American, it was the eighth title in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Nakashima last three matches have gone to three sets.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Sonego last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.33Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has paid off in 3 of Nakashima last 5 matches
1.85Tip and bets
Sonego was little noticed last season. Lorenzo has lost his form and has not been a serious threat lately. We consider Nakashima to be the clear favorite in this pair and expect the American to win this match.
Our prediction is Nakashima victory with a handicap of (-2) games at odds of 1.83
Bet on total
It is quite difficult to call Sonego a dangerous opponent now. Lorenzo has not shown his best game for a long time. We believe that Nakashima will lead the game in the upcoming match and he will win in two sets.
The second forecast is total under 23 games for odds of 1.87
Bet on the first set
Three of Nakashima last five matches have seen the first set go over 9.5 games, and we expect his upcoming encounter against Sonego to start with a top-heavy first set as well.
Forecast - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.85
