LiontipsDerby County vs Leeds. Prediction (odds 2.26) and bets on the Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
Derby County have firmly established themselves as the Championship mid-table team. With 27 points after 23 rounds, the Rams are in 14th place in the table. They are unlikely to fight for the top 6, given the 10-point gap to sixth-placed Watford. The team main problem is away matches, as they have only managed to score seven points away. Derby is traditionally strong at home, having suffered only three defeats in 11 matches. In the last round, they managed to beat West Bromwich (2:1) at their home stadium.
Disqualifications and injuries
Nyambe will not play today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Derby County have not lost in the first half in their last four matches
- There have been no goals in three of Derby County last five matches
Probable lineup: Zetterstrom; Wilson, Nelson, Cashin, Phillips; Goodmine, Osborne, Adams; Mendez-Laing, Blackett-Taylor, Jackson.
Current form
Leeds are approaching the start of the 24th round in first place in the league table, but only on additional indicators are ahead of Sheffield United in second place. Moreover, third-placed Burnley is only one point behind, and there is a serious fight going on for two direct tickets to the Premier League. At the moment, Daniel Farke team is on a five-match unbeaten streak - four wins and one draw. The day before, they managed to confidently beat Stoke City away with a score of 2:0. It should be noted that Leeds is not very stable on the road, having won only four of 11 matches played.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gruev will not play today due to a knee injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Leeds have won in the first half in four of their last five matches
- There have been no goals in three of Leeds' previous five matches
Probable squad: Illan Meslier, Jayden Bogle, Pascal Struijk, Guilavogui, Samuel Biram, Joe Rothwell, Ao Tanaka, Daniel James, Brenden Aaronson, Wilfred Gnonto, Yoel Piru.
Trends
Leeds to score in first half
In three of the last four head-to-head encounters, Leeds have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes
1.61Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
In the four previous matches, the visitors scored no more than one goal in the first half.
1.33Bet Exact score 2:2
Four of Leeds' last eight away games have ended in a draw
21.00Tip and bets
In the upcoming match, we would not immediately write off the hosts. Derby County scores the lion share of points at home and is always ready to surprise, at least to impose a fight on any opponent in the Championship. Leeds does not always play convincingly on the road, having won only four of 11 matches played since the beginning of the season. In this pair, we recommend a forecast for the home underdog.
Our prediction is a Derby County victory with an Asian handicap (+1) at odds of 1.71
Bet on total
Derby County have nothing to lose, the team has demonstrated productive football in recent matches. In the three previous matches involving the Rams, more than two goals were scored, which we do not rule out today.
The second bet is total over 2.5 goals with odds of 2.26
Bet on the first half
It is worth noting that Leeds have been playing confidently in the opening stages and have won in the first half in four of their last five matches. It is highly likely that the visitors will start the game strongly today.
Prediction: Leeds win in the first half with odds of 2.25
