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Darderi - Kecmanovic. ATP Hong Kong match forecast
Dardery and Kecmanovic will meet in the first round of the tournament in Hong Kong on December 30. The draw for the first round in Hong Kong brought together two tennis players who have certain difficulties on the hard surface. However, if we compare their hard court game in general, the advantage is clearly on the side of Kecmanovic. Will the Serb be able to reach the second round? - bets on this match are in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Luciano Darderi
ItalyCurrent form
Dardery is a clay court specialist and this should not be forgotten. Last season, the 22-year-old Italian won only one match out of ten on open hard courts. Luciano finished last season at the tournament in Brisbane, where he lost to Daniel Altmaier in the first round.
Professional qualities
Dardery grew up on the clay courts of Buenos Aires. His style of play is tailored to slow surfaces where he can showcase his strengths, including his tenacious return game. However, on hard courts, Luciano looks insecure, perceiving concrete as a necessity rather than a comfortable playing surface. His key goal is not to show a high result, but simply to pass the test to return to his familiar clay.
Current indicators in the tour
Darderi won two trophies last season. He won the Challenger in Perugia and secured victory at the major tournament in Cordoba. It was the first ATP title in his career. Luciano is currently ranked 44th in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
Dardery has suffered nine defeats in his last ten matches.
Miomir Kecmanovic
SerbiaCurrent form
Kecmanovic played his last match at a home tournament in Belgrade, where he failed to get past the first round - Miomir lost to Christopher O'Connell at the start. In 2024, the Serb won ten times and lost 15 times on open hard courts.
Professional qualities
Kecmanovic is a typical defensive player who prefers a wait-and-see approach. The Serb is known for his consistency in both shots and good footwork, making him a reliable opponent in long rallies. However, Miomir caution often plays against him, especially in matches with more aggressive opponents, against whom he is at a loss. Despite his hard work and versatility, the Serb sometimes finds himself a hostage to his passive strategy.
Current indicators in the tour
Kecmanovic left the top 50 of the world rankings following the results of the past season. He is currently in 54th place. Last season, Miomir did not reach any tournament beyond the quarterfinals. He played his last quarterfinal at the competition in Stockholm in October.
Interesting facts for betting
On open hard courts, Kecmanovic has won 3 of his last 10 matches.
Trends
Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Kecmanovic 5 previous matches
2.36Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Dardery last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.26Tip and bets
Darderi has never shown any particular results on hard courts in his career, he prefers to play on clay. Kecmanovic is also not a big fan of hard courts, but unlike Luciano, he is still capable of demonstrating good tennis on this surface. We prefer the Serb in this pair.
Our prediction is a victory for Kecmanovic with a handicap of (-3) games at odds of 1.75
Bet on total
Dardery won only one victory in ten matches on outdoor hard last season. Luciano can do little on this surface. We expect the upcoming match to not last long.
The second forecast is total under 22 games for odds of 1.86
Bet on the first set
Three of Kecmanovic last five matches have seen more than 9.5 games played in the first set. We believe that the upcoming match against Darderi will also start with a "top" first set.
Forecast - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.85
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