LiontipsAston Villa vs Brighton. Prediction (5.70) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Aston Villa are approaching the upcoming match in ninth place in the league table. At the same time, the gap from the top six European clubs is only two points. It is obvious that the current state of affairs does not suit the fans and the management. Many problems are related to unsuccessful performances on the road. The Birmingham team has lost five matches in a row away from home and has scored only 10 points since the beginning of the season.
Unai Emery men are performing much better at home, having played nine matches and added 18 points to their tally. Aston Villa are currently on a three-match home winning streak. They also managed to beat the once formidable Manchester City (2:1).
Birmingham previous Premier League game was away to Newcastle, who are currently on the rise. The Magpies controlled the game and deservedly won 3-0. Plus, Aston Villa lost Duran in that game, who was sent off in the first half.
Disqualifications and injuries
Durant and Cash will miss the game through suspension, while Ramsey is questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Aston Villa have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches
- Birmingham have scored at least three goals in six of their last seven Premier League games
- Both teams to score have played in 10 of Aston Villa last 13 home games in the Premier League
- Aston Villa have not won in the second half in six consecutive league games
Probable line-up: Martinez - Nedeljkovic, Konsa, Mings, Digne - Kamara, Onana - McGinn, Tielemans, Rodgers - Watkins.
Current form
Brighton have seen a significant decline, which is hard to explain. The Seagulls have not been able to win in the Premier League for six matches in a row, and it cannot be said that their schedule was very difficult. They drew with outsiders Southampton (1:1), Leicester (2:2), and lost to Crystal Palace on their home field with a score of 1:3. In their last two matches, Fabian Hürzeler team drew with West Ham (1:1) and Brentford (0:0).
With numerous points lost, https://www.brightonandhovealbion.com/pages/en/home target=_blank rel=noopener>Brighton has fallen to tenth place in the league table. The team has 26 points, four points behind the Eurocup zone, not all is lost, but they need to win, it is hard to have serious ambitions based on draws alone.
Brighton have a tough away trip to Birmingham ahead. Here, in the last three matches at Villa Park, the team has lost in the Premier League. The Seagulls have not been particularly stable away from home this season, winning three times, losing three times and drawing three times in nine matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Hinshelwood, Kadioglu, Milner and Welbeck are all out through injury, with Wiffer, Webster and Ferguson all doubtful.
Interesting trends for betting
- In the previous two matches, Brighton drew with their opponents in the first half
- Nine of the Seagulls' last 10 Premier League games have seen goals exchanged
- Brighton have not won in the second half in their last seven away Premier League games
Tentative lineup: Verbruggen - Veltman, van Hecke, Dank, Estupiñan - Baleba, Ayari - Minte, Encio, Mitoma - Pedro.
Trends
Bet Aston Villa to win on offsides
Aston Villa have lost three of their last four matches due to offsides
1.95Aston Villa to score in the second half
In three of the last four matches Birmingham have scored goals in the second 45 minutes
1.45Bet Exact score 3:1
Brighton last three away defeats have come by two goals
14.00Bet Aston Villa to win on corners
Aston Villa have had more corners than their opponents in their last ten home Premier League games
1.60Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the last five head-to-head matches, goals were not scored in either half
1.89Tip and bets
Brighton are currently in a significant slump, having gone six games without a win. It will be difficult to break the losing streak today, given the strong performances of their opponents at home. Aston Villa have won three games in a row at home, and have also beaten the Seagulls at Villa Park in their previous three encounters. It is unlikely that the Seagulls will be able to surprise their difficult opponents in their current state.
Our prediction is Aston Villa to win at odds of 2.00
Bet on total
Brighton often fail in defense away from home and concede more than one goal. Thus, in three of the five previous away matches, the Seagulls conceded at least twice. We think that the Birmingham team will be able to break through the opponent defense more than once.
The second bet is Aston Villa individual total goals over 1.5 with odds of 1.78
Bet on the exact difference in the score
Brighton have lost two of their last three away games by a goal or more, so expect Aston Villa to win comfortably today.
Prediction: Aston Villa win by two goals with odds of 5.70
