LiontipsCrystal Palace vs Southampton. Prediction and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Crystal Palace have collected eight points in the last five rounds, which is almost half of the total 17 since the start of the season. Such successes allowed the Glaziers to leave the relegation zone, although the gap is only three points. In the previous match, Oliver Glasner charges drew away with Bournemouth (0:0) in a largely equal game. Thus, they managed to somewhat rehabilitate themselves for the two previous failures with Arsenal, to whom the Eagles first lost in the League Cup (2:3), and then in the Premier League (1:5). It should be noted that this season, Crystal Palace has not been very confident in home matches, having collected only seven points. The team only victory on its home field was in the London derby over Tottenham (1:0).
Disqualifications and injuries
Wharton, Riyad and Fransa are injured and will not be helping their team today. Guehi will serve a disqualification.
Interesting trends for betting
- Crystal Palace have failed to score more than one goal in six of their last seven home Premier League games
- Crystal Palace have not won in the second half in their last seven Premier League home games
Probable line-up: Henderson - Chalobah, Lacroix, Richards - Munoz, Doucouré, Lerma, Mitchell - Sarr, Eze - Mateta.
Current form
Southampton are the main contenders for relegation. In 18 rounds, the Saints have earned only six points, with which they are at the bottom of the standings. The gap from the saving 17th line is nine points. The appearance of Ivan Juric on the coaching bridge did not immediately give a positive effect. In the last round, Southampton lost at home to West Ham with a minimal score of 0:1, although at the end they had a good chance to snatch a draw. It should be noted that despite numerous failures in two of the three previous away games, the Saints earned points, drawing with Brighton (1:1) and Fulham (0:0).
Disqualifications and injuries
Bazunu, Larios, Smallbone, Stewart and Stevens will miss the game due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Southampton have drawn their last two games in the first half
- The Saints' previous five away Premier League games have not seen more than two goals scored
Probable line-up: Ramsdale - Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Wood - Sugawara, Downes, Ugochukwu, Walker-Peters - Fernandes - Armstrong, Onuachu.
Trends
Southampton Total Corners Over 3.5 Bet
Southampton players have had more than three corners in eight of their last nine meetings at Crystal Palace
1.54Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
No more than one goal was scored in the first half in three of the last four head-to-head meetings
1.51Bet Exact score 1:1
Southampton have drawn two of their last three away Premier League games
7.20Tip and bets
Crystal Palace are the clear favourites from bookmakers, given the home field factor and the league position. However, it is worth noting that the Eagles are not playing their best matches on their home field, having won only one victory since the start of the season. At the same time, Southampton are not losing hope for salvation, in the previous match with West Ham they played well for a draw, but were almost unlucky at the end. In addition, in two of the last three away games, the Saints took points from Brighton and Fulham.
Our prediction is a Southampton win with an Asian handicap (+1) at odds of 1.82
Bet on total
Southampton have little success in attack, most often, especially in away games, the team relies on defense. Thus, in the five previous away games involving the "saints", no more than two goals were scored. We do not think that we should expect a bright and productive game today.
The second bet is total under three goals with odds of 1.68
Bet on the first half
In the last two head-to-head encounters, the opponents ended the first half with a draw. We don’t expect Crystal Palace and Southampton to force the issue on the pitch today.
Prediction: draw in the first half with odds of 2.45
