LiontipsNewcastle vs Aston Villa. Prediction and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Newcastle were on a nasty four-game winless streak at the end of November and the beginning of December. However, Eddie Howe side overcame the slump and put together an impressive three-game winning streak, although the opponents during this period were not the toughest. In the Premier League, the Magpies confidently dealt with outsiders Leicester and Ipswich with the same score of 4:0. Between these matches, there was a victory over Brentford in the quarter-finals of the League Cup (3:1). Nevertheless, Newcastle is still outside the European Cup zone in eighth place with 26 points. A victory today will allow them to overtake Aston Villa, which occupies sixth place.
Disqualifications and injuries
Pope, Wilson, Kraft, Lascelles and Botman will be out due to injuries today. Joelinton participation is in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Newcastle have won in the first half in four of their last five matches
- At least four goals have been scored in the Magpies' last four Premier League games
Probable line-up: Dubravka – Livramento, Scher, Burn, Hall – Tonali, Guimaraes, Longstaff – Murphy, Isak, Gordon.
Current form
Aston Villa are approaching the start of the 18th round in sixth place in the league table, but are not demonstrating stable play and results. Thus, over the last five rounds, the Birmingham team has won three and suffered two defeats. It is characteristic that the failures were in matches against direct competitors for places in the top four - Chelsea (0:3) and Nottingham Forest (1:2). In the last round, Unai Emery charges confidently dealt with Manchester City on their home field. The score 2:1 should not be too misleading, since the Citizens only scored one goal at the very end.
Disqualifications and injuries
The appearance of Ramsey and Carlos on the field is in question.
Interesting trends for betting
- Aston Villa have not lost in the first half of their last five matches in all competitions – three wins and two draws
- In seven of Birmingham previous ten Premier League matches, both teams have scored goals
Probable line-up: Martinez - Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne - Onana, Kamara - McGinn, Tielemans, Rodgers - Duran.
Trends
Aston Villa Win by Fouls Bet
Newcastle have lost seven of their last eight games on fouls
1.80Newcastle to win on shots on target
Newcastle have had more shots on target than their opponents in three of their last four games
1.65Bet Exact score 2:1
Aston Villa have suffered two of their last three defeats by conceding two goals
8.50Tip and bets
Newcastle are a regular team, which is hard to stop when they are gaining momentum. Now is exactly such a moment, everything is going well in attack, there are no problems with implementation. Plus, the important factor of the home field is on the side of the Magpies, especially considering that Aston Villa does not play well away from home and, taking into account all tournaments, has lost five of the last six games. We think it is worth agreeing with the bookmakers' odds and betting on the home favorite.
Our prediction is Newcastle to win at odds of 2.00
Bet on total
Newcastle recent successes have been largely due to their powerful attacking play. We don't think the Magpies will back down from their bold play today and there is a high probability that we will see at least three goals in the match.
The second bet is total over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.62
Bet on corners
In six of the previous seven head-to-head encounters at Newcastle field in the Premier League, the opponents did not take more than 11 corners between them. We expect in our forecast that there will not be a huge number of corners today either.
Forecast - total under 11.5 corners with odds of 1.55
