LiontipsValencia - Alaves. Forecast (odds 3.55) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Valencia are going through a tough time in La Liga, extending their winless run to four games after a 2-2 draw with Athletic Bilbao last round. Despite this, the team is showing fighting spirit, especially at their home stadium, Mestalla, where they traditionally perform better. This season, the “bats” have collected more points at home than in away matches, which gives hope for a positive result in the upcoming meeting.
The coaching staff is working hard to improve their defensive performance, as the team has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last five games. In attack, Valencia rely on Hugo Duro, who has scored three goals in his last two home games, confirming his key role in the attack.
Disqualifications and injuries
Valencia will face personnel problems in the upcoming match: Jose Gaia (muscle injury), Mouctar Diakhaby (knee injury), Roman Yaremchuk (injury) and Giorgi Mamardashvili (disqualification after red card).
Interesting trends for betting
- In eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Valencia and Alaves, both teams have scored
- Valencia are unbeaten at Mestalla in their last three games against Alaves, including two wins
- Striker Hugo Duro has scored three goals in his last two home games
Probable line-up: Cristian Rivero - Thierry Correia, Gabriel Paulista, Mossa Diakhaby, Dimitri Foulquier - Yunus Musa, Hugo Guillamon, Andre Almeida - Samu Castillejo, Hugo Duro, Fran Perez.
Current form
Alaves enter this round teetering on the brink of relegation. A 1-1 draw against Athletic last time out means the Blues have won just one of their last 11 league games, leaving them just one point above the danger zone. Relegation battles are nothing new for the club, who have finished 16th or lower in three of the last four completed La Liga seasons.
Eduardo Coudet has been called up to try and extend his two-year stay in the division and he will be confident of extending his unbeaten start against a side the Glorious have beaten in three consecutive head-to-head encounters.
Disqualifications and injuries
Tenaglia will not be able to take to the football field today (card intake).
Interesting trends for betting
- Seven of Alaves' nine away games this season have seen more than three goals scored
- Alaves' attacking wing could be Carlos Vicente, whose last five goals have been first or last of the game, but only one of them has been away from home
- Alaves have won just one of their last 11 league matches
Probable lineup: Sivera - Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay - Guevara, Blanco, Benavides, Romero, Rioja - Garcia
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.76Bet Exact score 2:1
Two of the last ten head-to-head matches ended with this score
12.55Bet Corners: total over 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 2 of Alaves' last 4 matches
1.99Penalty Bet - No
In four of the last six head-to-head matches, no penalties were awarded
1.25Tip and bets
In this match we expect active football from both teams, given their position in the tournament and the need to gain points. Valencia, playing at home at Mestalla, is trying to rehabilitate itself in front of the fans, which means attacking tactics. Alaves has no other task than to try to take away any tournament points.
Historically, head-to-head encounters between these teams have been productive – four of the last ten matches have seen three or more goals scored. Also, the defensive lines of both teams do not look impenetrable: Valencia often concede when playing first number, and the “glorious ones” fail to keep a clean sheet in away matches.
Our prediction is total over 2.5 goals. We bet on it with odds of 2.55
Bet on the outcome
Given the difficult tournament situation for Valencia, the hosts are obliged to demonstrate a productive game in front of their fans. The team has had enough time to work on their mistakes, and the emotional upsurge associated with returning to the home stadium can be a decisive factor. In addition, Alaves has difficulties in defense on the road, which makes the probability of a confident victory for the "orange" more realistic.
Our prediction is a one-goal victory for Valencia. We bet on it with odds of 3.75
Bet on corners
Both sides are expected to be attacking, which will likely lead to a large number of set pieces. Valencia will look to take control of the game on their own field, creating chances through the flanks, while their opponents will show a desire for quick counter-attacks. This dynamic increases the likelihood of many corner kicks.
Forecast - total corners over 10. This option can be found for 2.00
