LiontipsLeganes vs Villarreal. Prediction (odds 3.50) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
After a sensational 1-0 win over Barcelona, Leganes can now register successive wins in La Liga for the first time since regaining promotion in the summer. No team in La Liga has scored fewer home goals than them in this competition, a shortcoming that was also evident on their own ground when they face upcoming opponents Villarreal, who the Pepineros have failed to score against in four of their last six meetings at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque. The hosts will also be pleased to be three points above the relegation zone approaching the halfway point of the La Liga campaign.
Disqualifications and injuries
Garcia (muscle injury), Tapia (ankle injury) and main defender Franquesa (knee injury) will be out.
Interesting trends for betting
- In Leganes' last five matches, both teams have scored three times
- Sergio Gonzalez was the goalscoring hero in the triumph over Barcelona, his header marking the ninth time in a row he has found the net to avoid defeat for Leganes
- Los Pepineros have failed to score in four of their last six meetings at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Estimated lineup: Soriano - Lopez, Brsanac, Cisse, Cruz - Gonzalez, de la Fuente, Hernandez, Guairo - Raba, Carcelen
Current form
Leganes may feel they can take advantage of Villarreal poor form, with the Yellow Submarine without a win in six competitive matches. A 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano on Wednesday felt like another missed opportunity, but it was an impressive result considering they were 1-0 down when down to 10 men at half-time.
The Yellows' prospects of qualifying for the UEFA Champions League have certainly taken a hit after their fantastic start to the campaign, with Marcelino side now facing a battle to hold on to fifth place, let alone move up the table.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ahomach (knee injury), Pedraza (muscle injury) and Conde (muscle injury), Pepe (thigh injury) and Kambwala (red card) will not take part in the match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Villarreal last six away games in La Liga have seen at least one goal scored in each half
- Villarreal Ayoze Perez ended his four-match goal drought at club level in midweek against Rayo, scoring his sixth of his last eight goals for Villarreal before the break
Estimated lineup: Reis - Navaro, Bailly, Costa, Cardona - Moreno, Pino, Comesaña, Foyth - Bari, Pirez, Odega
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
The visitors have finished two of their last ten matches with this score.
9.55Bet Goals in both halves - no
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the hosts this type of bet took place
2.05Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 3 of Leganes' last 5 matches
1.99Tip and bets
In the upcoming match, both teams have a good chance of scoring, given their playing characteristics and current form. Leganes, despite being an underdog, has shown decent results at home: the team has scored in six of the last seven La Liga games at Butarque. Historically, head-to-head meetings between these teams also indicate a goal exchange - in three of the last four matches, both teams have scored. Given the playing style and motivation of the teams, there is a high probability of seeing goals from both sides.
Our prediction is that both teams will score. We bet on this with a coefficient of 2.05
Bet on the outcome
Leganes feel confident at their home stadium, where the team demonstrates character and tenacity in matches with stronger opponents. However, Villarreal has a high class and a good attacking line, which makes them dangerous in any situation. Both teams have difficulty gaining stable form: the hosts cling to points in low-scoring matches, and the visitors often lose concentration at key moments. We assume that the meeting will be an equal fight, and neither side will be able to win.
The forecast is a draw, and we bet on it with odds of 3.50
Bet on the second half
In games between teams that rely on a tight defense and minimal mistakes, the results often depend on the end of the match. Leganes are reluctant to open up, especially at home, but can become more active after the break. Villarreal also often waits for its chance, playing combinations closer to the second half. We believe that most of the goals will be scored after the break.
Forecast - second half: total over 1.5 goals for odds 2.25
