LiontipsWinnipeg vs Minnesota. NHL match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Winnipeg has once again secured its first place in the Western Conference and is three points ahead of its closest rival, Minnesota. The team has been consistently earning points lately and has gone four games without a loss in regulation time. The Jets fought Vegas and lost an even fight with a score of 2:3 in overtime, but then dealt with Montreal (4:2) and San Jose (4:3). In the last matchup with Anaheim, they were also considered favorites, but they unexpectedly lost with a score of 2:3, losing a one-goal advantage.
Note that Scott Arniel team is playing great in the third period, with a 48:35 goal-to-goal ratio. Incidentally, the club is currently the most productive in the league and leads in goals scored.
Winnipeg also plays quite well at home. Thus, in 15 games played, the team suffered only three defeats within 60 minutes and on average scored no less than four goals. The leading scorer in the team is Kyle Connor, who has already earned 42 points in the goal+pass system and continues to earn points in almost every game.
Disqualifications and injuries
Winnipeg doesn't have any major roster problems. Gustavsson and Samberg are in the infirmary, and Ehlers is questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Winnipeg averages 3.65 goals per game
The club remains one of the most productive in the league.
- The Jets converted 30% of their power play attempts.
Thanks to their excellent attacking play, the team consistently punishes opponents for breaking the rules.
Current form
Minnesota is in second place in the Western Conference and has 44 points. It will be very difficult for the team to reduce the gap to the leader, being in the current form. Note that for two weeks now it has not been able to find stability and get on a winning streak. Moreover, if it used to alternate successful matches with defeats, then in the last two matches it remained without a single point.
After a 1-7 rout from Edmonton, the Wild dealt with Philadelphia (4-1), and then lost to both Vegas (2-3) and Florida (1-6). It is noteworthy that in the confrontation with the Panthers, they were left with only one goal scored and showed a weak game in defense. Much will continue to rest on the first three of the attack, especially on Kirill Kaprizov, and if the opponent manages to cover them, then the Wild efficiency drops significantly.
In addition, the club continues to show a rather mediocre game in the 5x3 and 5x4 formats and ranks 20th in the league in this indicator, currently having only 19% of the extra man conversion. As a rule, John Hynes' team looks worst in the third period, during which they often allow the opponent to score goals and concede more in it than in other periods.
Disqualifications and injuries
Trenin, Middleton, Lauko and Eriksson Ek will not be able to take part in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Minnesota gets 7.25 penalty minutes per game.
On average, the "savages" are sent off at least three or four times per game.
- On home ice, Hines' team concedes an average of three goals
At home, the Wild have been showing a rather weak defensive performance.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.85Bet 2nd period: guests will score
In three of the five games against Winnipeg, the visitors scored in the second period.
1.53Tip and bets
Minnesota has certainly been playing poorly lately, but games against Winnipeg usually go pretty well for them. The Jets are a pretty easy opponent for the Wild. The Air Army has had a hard time getting points in previous games, and they stumbled in the final matchup with Anaheim, so we wouldn't bet on them for that kind of odds. It likely that the Wild will put up a tough fight, and even if they lose, they'll do so outside of regulation time.
Prediction - Minnesota will not lose for 1.85
Bet on individual total
Winnipeg usually doesn't score many goals in games against Minnesota and focuses more on defense. The Wild, after a series of failures, will definitely try to play as reliably as possible in defense and not allow a large number of goals to be conceded. The defensemen should help Fleury and make his life a little easier. Especially since on average Hines' team concedes no more than three times on the road.
We bet on Winnipeg individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.60
Total Bet
Matches involving the Jets are usually not particularly spectacular. Winnipeg continues to play closed hockey, although it makes good use of its chances. Minnesota, in turn, after a series of unsuccessful matches, will also try to play in a reserved style. The two previous matches between the clubs also ended with fewer than six goals scored, so we will not expect a large number of goals in the upcoming confrontation.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks with a coefficient of 2.00
