LiontipsBarcelona vs Atletico. Forecast (odds 3.75) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Following a 1-0 home defeat to Leganes last weekend, Barcelona have managed to pick up just five of a possible 18 points from their last six La Liga games. This has had a serious impact on their leadership, as they are currently tied at the top of the table with their opponents, ahead only on goal difference. However, Barça have a historical advantage in this clash, having won five consecutive La Liga games and are in a position to extend that run to six for the first time since September 2010-May 2013.
However, this task will be made more difficult by the absence of head coach Hansi Flick, who remains suspended. The form at the temporary home of the Olimpico is also questionable. After an impressive start to the season, which included eight straight wins in all competitions, the team suffered two consecutive defeats, which has cast doubt on their consistency. However, https://www.fcbarcelona.com/en target=_blank rel=noopener>Barcelona have an impressive run of 18 unbeaten home games against this opponent in the top flight, dating back to February 2006, which has given fans optimism.
Injuries and disqualifications
Marc-Andre ter Stegen (knee injury), Andreas Christensen (injury), Inigo Martinez (muscle injury) and Yamal (ankle injury) will not be able to take part in the match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Robert Lewandowski continues to produce highly as a key player in Barcelona attack
- Barcelona have always opened the scoring in their last nine La Liga home games, resulting in victories
- In the last five head-to-head meetings between Barcelona and Atletico in La Liga, both teams have scored 60 percent of the time
Probable lineup: Inaki Peña - Jules Kounde, Eric Garcia, Inigo Martinez, Alejandro Balde - Marc Casado, Pedri; Dani Olmo, Fati, Rafinha - Robert Lewandowski
Current form
Atletico Madrid continue to demonstrate impressive form, confirming their status as one of the main contenders for the La Liga title. Diego Simeone charges have confidently played a series of matches both domestically and internationally. In the last game of the Champions League, the Madrid team confidently beat Slovan Bratislava with a score of 3:1, which was their tenth victory in a row in all tournaments. In La Liga, the "Indians" have also gained incredible momentum, winning five victories in a row. Their strong-willed victory over Sevilla with a score of 4:3 stands out, where the team demonstrated character, recovering from a two-goal deficit.
Madrid are one of the best teams in Europe in terms of points won from losing positions (12), second only to Manchester City in the top 5 European leagues. A key factor in their success has been Antoine Griezmann, who has scored in the last five matches, including important goals in tense encounters. Madrid’s defense is also worth noting, with Jan Oblak’s consistent play in goal and the reliability of their experienced defenders.
Disqualifications and injuries
Thomas Lemar will not be able to help his team (injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Antoine Griezmann is in great form, scoring in his last five games in a row
- In their previous eight La Liga meetings with Barcelona, Atletico have remained unbeaten in half of the encounters
- Diego Simeone side have won seven of their last 10 La Liga away games, showing confidence on the road
Probable lineup: Jan Oblak - Molina, Savic, Jimenez, Reinildo - Koke, de Paul, Saul, Lino - Antoine Griezmann, Alvaro Morata
Trends
Bet Exact score 2:1
The visitors have finished two of their last ten matches with this score.
9.55Bet Goals in both halves - no
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the guests this type of bet took place
2.15Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 3 of Barcelona last 5 matches
1.99Bet Number 1 in the score
In two of the last five matches the visitors have had the number one in the score
1.89Tip and bets
Despite their high attacking potential, the Catalans often have difficulty creating scoring chances in matches with top-level teams. This is especially noticeable in games against Atletico, which has one of the most disciplined defenses in La Liga. It is also worth considering the caution of both sides in such confrontations: the price of a mistake is high, which often leads to a more reserved game.
Furthermore, the recent head-to-head encounters between these teams confirm the low-scoring trend. Four of the last six La Liga matches between Barcelona and Atletico have seen two or fewer goals scored, with both teams opting to play a tight defense and avoid taking unnecessary risks. Given the current form of both teams and the nature of their encounters, we expect this to be a tightly contested match with a minimum number of goals scored.
Our forecast is total under 2.5 goals , bet on this with odds of 1.95
Bet on the outcome
The upcoming match between Barcelona and Atletico promises to be a real highlight of the tour, but it is expected to be a tough fight. The Catalans demonstrate stability at their home stadium, but games with Atletico are always distinguished by a high level of resistance. The Madrid team is famous for its reliable defense and ability to contain the attacking potential of opponents, which often leads to minimal gaps in the score.
We believe that Barcelona will win, but by a narrow margin. This outcome is typical for head-to-head meetings between these teams: in three of the last five matches, Barca won by one goal. The fate of the match will probably be decided by a single scoring opportunity or the individual skill of one of the team leaders.
Prediction: Barcelona win by one goal with odds of 3.75
Bet on corners
The game between two tactically prepared teams promises to be a busy battle in the center of the field. Atletico is able to effectively block the opponent attacks, forcing them to act through the flanks, which increases the likelihood of set pieces. At the same time, Barcelona, thanks to its fast wingers, often earns corners.
Given the intensity of the match and the importance of every moment, we expect both teams to try to take advantage of set pieces, which increases the likelihood of a large number of corners. In the last four head-to-head meetings between these teams, the average number of corners per game has exceeded 10.
Forecast - total corners over 9.5 with odds of 1.90
