LiontipsLuton vs Derby County. Championship match prediction and betting tips
Command Analysis
Current form
Last season, Luton played in the Premier League, and now they are only in the lower part of the Championship table. Relegation is unlikely to threaten the "hatters", since the gap from the "red" zone is five points, but they will definitely not be able to fight for promotion. The main problem is a weak away game. At other stadiums since the beginning of the season, Luton Town has earned only four points, while at home they managed to take 18 points. In the last five matches at Kenilworth Road, the team has not lost - three wins and two draws. In the previous round, they had to play away against Blackburn - a 0:2 defeat.
Disqualifications and injuries
Baptiste, Bell, Burke, Doughty, Lockyer and Mengi are all out with injuries today, while Walsh is also suspended.
Interesting trends for betting
- Luton have failed to win in the first half in four of their last five matches
- In three of the previous four matches between the "hatters", there was an exchange of goals scored
Projected lineup: Kaminsky, Burke, McGuinness, Hasioka, Johnson, Nelson, Nakamba, Walters, Clarke, Adebayo, Chong.
Current form
Derby County are a solid mid-table team in the Championship this season, sitting in 14th place in the table after 21 rounds. After a series of three defeats in a row, the Rams have not lost in the previous two rounds. They managed to take points away from Burnley (0:0) and defeat Portsmouth at home (4:0). It should be noted that Derby County have noticeably improved their away performance recently – only one defeat in the previous five away games.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Nyambe and Ozokh will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Derby County have not lost in the first half in three of their last four matches
- More than two goals have been scored in three of the Rams' previous five matches
Probable lineup: Zetterstrom; Wilson, Nelson, Cashin, Phillips; Goodmine, Osborne, Adams; Mendez-Laing, Blackett-Taylor, Jackson.
Trends
Derby County to score in first half
Luton have conceded in the opening 45 minutes in four of their last five matches
2.12Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
In the five previous head-to-head matches, no more than one goal was scored in the first half
1.35Bet Exact score 1:1
This score has been recorded in two of the Hatters' last five home matches
5.80Tip and bets
Both teams are not having their strongest season. The home field factor is on the side of the "hatters" today, but "Derby County" has improved a bit lately, and managed to take points away from "Burnley". The "rams" are clearly on the rise now, in terms of the level of play and the selection of players, they are in no way inferior to their upcoming opponent. We think that the bookmakers are slightly overestimating the current capabilities of the hosts.
Our prediction is Derby County not to lose at 1.68
Bet on total
Luton have traded goals with their opponents in three of their previous four matches, and their defence is not particularly stable or reliable. At the same time, Derby County are vulnerable away and are also unlikely to be able to keep a clean sheet.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.90
Bet on corners
At home, Luton Town will play first number and will obviously spend a lot of time at the opponent goal. There is a high probability that the hosts will confidently win on corners today.
Prediction - Luton Town to win on corners at 1.45
