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Bayern vs. Leipzig: Prediction and Betting Tips with Odds of 3.10
In the opening match of the 15th round of the Bundesliga on December 20, Bayern will host Leipzig on their home field. In the last five head-to-head encounters, the Munich team has only once defeated the Bulls, and they did so with an advantage of only one goal. How will the upcoming meeting go and what reliable bets should you choose? – the answer is in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Bayern Munich
GermanyCurrent form
Bayern are approaching the upcoming match after a sensational away defeat to Mainz with a score of 1:2. However, the personnel losses had an effect. The opponents were not very threatening, made only four shots on target, but Daniel Peretz, who replaced Neuer, missed two of them. At the same time, it should be noted that despite the total advantage in possession, the Munich team made only one shot on target, which ended with a goal by Sane in the 87th minute.
Bayern are still first in the Bundesliga standings, four points ahead of Bayer. Vincent Kompany men have lost points at home only once, when they drew with Bayer (1:1). Note the impressive difference in goals scored and conceded in home matches (17-3).
In the Champions League, they managed to stabilize their results thanks to three victories in a row. In the last game, Bayern defeated Shakhtar with a score of 5:1. Nevertheless, the Munich team went into the break only in tenth place, one point behind the top 8.
Disqualifications and injuries
Harry Kane has already trained fully with the team and is likely to feature in the starting lineup. However, starting goalkeeper Neuer is still injured. Ito and Boe are also out. Stanisic, Buchmann, Palhinha, Coman, Gnabry and Ulreich are also questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Bayern have failed to win in the first half in three of their last five matches in all competitions
- Bayern have scored first in eight of their last nine Bundesliga home games
- No more than three goals have been scored in eight of the team last ten home league games
Probable line-up: Peretz - Guerreiro, Upamecano, Kim, Davies - Kimmich, Pavlovic - Oliseh, Musiala, Sane - Kane.
RB Leipzig
GermanyCurrent form
"Leipzig" is having a mixed season, it is not particularly stable, the seat under Marco Rose is shaking quite a bit, but the team is not giving up. After a series of failures in the last two rounds of the Bundesliga, the "bulls" defeated "Holstein" (2:0) and "Eintracht" (2:1). Thanks to these successes, they managed to catch up with "Eintracht", moving up to fourth place in the table. The competitor is higher only by additional indicators. At the same time, the gap from "Bayer" in second place is only two points.
They are successfully performing in the German Cup. In the 1/8 finals of this tournament, https://rbleipzig.com/de target=_blank rel=noopener>Leipzig left no chance for the same Eintracht (3:0) on their home field. Two victories over such a difficult opponent in a short period of time show that the "bulls" have decent potential, they know how to tune in to top opponents in national tournaments. And matches against Bayern are no exception in this regard - in four of the five previous face-to-face confrontations, Leipzig did not lose to the Munich team.
Marco Rose charges suffered a complete failure in the Champions League. They failed to score a single point in six rounds. As a result, there was no longer even a theoretical chance of getting into the playoffs. In the last game, Leipzig suffered a defeat at home to Aston Villa (2:3), although the score was tied (2:2) until the 85th minute.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lukeba, Ouedraogo, Elmas, Simons and Poulsen will miss the match due to injuries. Haidara appearance on the field is in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Leipzig have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches in all competitions.
- The Bulls have not lost in 11 of their last 13 away matches in the Bundesliga
- Five of Leipzig previous six away league games have seen no more than three goals scored
- Leipzig have not conceded more than two goals in 14 of their last 15 Bundesliga away games.
Estimated line-up: Gulácsi – Seiwald, Orban, Geertruyda – Henrichs, Schlager, Vermehren, Nusa – Baumgartner – Openda, Šeshko.
Trends
Bet : Bayern to win on corners with handicap (-3.5)
Bayern have won 12 of their last 14 matches on corners
1.65Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has won in three of the previous five head-to-head matches
1.85Bet Exact score 1:1
In two of the last five personal meetings, the opponents ended in a draw
10.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of the last five head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.41Bet: Bayern to win due to offsides
In four of the previous five matches, Bayern players were caught offside more often than their opponents
1.82Bet: Leipzig to score in the first half
In the four previous matches, Leipzig scored goals in the opening 45 minutes
2.65Tip and bets
Despite the complete failure in the Champions League, Leipzig managed to stabilize their results in the Bundesliga, won two victories in a row and are unlikely to give up points in Munich without a fight. Moreover, Bayern is now vulnerable, as demonstrated by the same Mainz. This is especially true for defense, plus, without Neuer in goal, the team is also having a hard time. The Bulls did not give in to Bayern in four of the five previous face-to-face matches, and the only defeat in this period was by one goal. We recommend a forecast for the underdog in the upcoming battle.
Our prediction is a Leipzig victory with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 2.10
Bet on total
Bayern have obvious problems in defense, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in five matches in a row in all tournaments. At the same time, the Munich attack is traditionally at its best, there is a high probability that Kane will also play today, the hosts are capable of scoring their own goal. We expect that the opponents will exchange goals, as they did in seven of the eight previous face-to-face confrontations.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.65
Bet on the first half
Bayern are not playing their best in the opening periods and have not won in the first half in three of their last five matches. We expect Leipzig to cope with the opponent initial onslaught and we will see a draw, and all the main events on the field will unfold after the break. We will add that in the last two matches the "bulls" separated with their opponents in a draw in the first half.
Prediction - draw in the first half with odds of 3.10
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