LiontipsChelsea vs Shamrock Rovers. Prediction (odds 2.45) and bets on the Conference League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Chelsea are approaching the final round of the main stage of the Conference League in first position, having collected the maximum 15 points in five rounds. The "aristocrats" have already secured a ticket to the 1/8 finals. Enzo Maresca is not using the main squad in this tournament, some players are not even on the application. However, it is worth giving credit to the coach, who managed to decide on a huge selection of players and distributed them in accordance with the tasks that need to be solved.
The Londoners played their last match in the Conference League in Kazakhstan against Astana. There were no difficulties, they managed to win 3:1 on class. All the goals in that match were scored in the opening 45 minutes, with Mark Giu scoring twice. We should note the impressive performance of the "aristocrats" - 24 goals scored, eight of which were against Noah. At the same time, Chelsea only beat Noah with a difference of more than three goals (8:0).
In the Premier League, Enzo Maresca men have gone on a five-game winning streak and secured second place. Moreover, they even managed to reduce the gap with Liverpool. At the moment, the gap between the teams is two points, but the Merseysiders have a game in hand. In the last round, Chelsea won at home against Brentford (2:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Mudrik tested positive for doping and is suspended from the game for now. James, Felix, Badiashile and Chukwuemeka will not play due to health problems.
Interesting trends for betting
- Chelsea have scored at least three goals in four of their last five Conference League games
- Five of the Londoners' previous six matches in the tournament have seen three or more goals scored
- Chelsea have won the first half in four of their last five matches in all competitions
Probable line-up: Jorgensen - Disasi, Adarabioyo, Acheampong, Kukurelya - Rak-Saki, Kasaday, Dewsbury-Hall - Netu, Giu, George.
Current form
Shamrock Rovers have become the main revelation of the current Conference League. The modest Irish club has collected 11 points in five rounds, is in sixth place in the table and has a chance to finish in the top 8, although it is obvious that it will be incredibly difficult to score points in London today.
The Irish Championship ended in early November. https://www.shamrockrovers.ie target=_blank rel=noopener>Shamrock finished second there, and now plays only in the Conference League and holds friendly matches. Over five rounds, Stephen Bradley charges have not lost a single time - three wins and two draws. The Hoops have so far failed to beat only APOEL (1:1) and Vienna Rapid (1:1). In the previous round, they managed to confidently beat Borac at home with a score of 3:0. It should be noted that the team, first of all, acts reliably in defense, they have conceded only four goals, the same number, by the way, as Chelsea. Johnny Kenny shines in the Irish team attack, leading the scorers' race with five goals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Only Gaffney will not play today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Shamrock Rovers have won in the first half in three of their last five matches
- Three or fewer goals have been scored in 12 of the Irish previous 14 Conference League games.
- Shamrock Rovers have lost five of their last seven away games in the Conference League
Tentative line-up: Pauls - Cleary, Lopez, Grace - Honohan, O'Neill, Poom, Watts, Burns - Kenny, Farrugia.
Trends
Bet Chelsea to win on corners with handicap (-4.5)
Chelsea have had more corners than their opponents in 17 of their last 18 matches
1.55Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in four of the Londoners' last five matches
1.71Bet Exact score 3:1
Chelsea have scored three goals in two of their last five wins
11.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three matches, the visitors have scored goals in each half.
1.38Bet Shamrock Rovers to win on yellow cards
Shamrock Rovers have received more yellow cards than their opponents in three of their last four matches
1.67Tip and bets
There is a huge difference in class between the rivals, and even taking into account the fact that Chelsea is not using its main squad in the Conference League, we should not expect a defeat for the hosts. At the same time, the "aristocrats" have already solved the problem of reaching the 1/8 finals, only once in five rounds they won with an advantage of more than three goals. Shamrock Rovers is a fairly organized team, the Irish are doing very well in defense, they have conceded only four goals, of course, they have not played with opponents of Chelsea level. We do not think that today we should expect a crushing victory by the favorite, most likely, Chelsea will win with an advantage of one or two goals due to its class.
Our prediction is a Shamrock Rovers victory with an Asian handicap (+3) at odds of 1.88
Bet on total
Taking into account the Premier League and Conference League matches, Chelsea have conceded in four previous matches. Shamrock Rovers are notable for their high finishing and could well score a goal. However, holding out at Stamford Bridge and keeping a clean sheet is almost impossible. We think it is worth taking advantage of the high odds and betting on the exchange of goals scored.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 2.45
Betting on shots on target
At home, Chelsea will dictate the terms of the game, spend a lot of time near the opponent goal and are likely to make many more shots than their opponents.
Prediction: Chelsea win on shots on target with a handicap of (-4.5) with odds of 1.57
