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Sibir vs. Avangard: KHL Match Prediction
On December 17, the Siberian derby in the KHL will take place - Sibir will host a fight at home against Avangard. This season, the Omsk team has an advantage in face-to-face matches with their opponent and leads with a score of 2:1. However, the "hawks" do not perform well on the road and last time they lost to the "snowmen" in regular time. Will the hosts be able to give a worthy fightback? What should you bet on this confrontation? You will find the answers to these questions in our forecast
Command Analysis
Sibir Novosibirsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Sibir is outside the playoff zone and is currently in tenth place in the Eastern Conference. At the moment, it is literally three points behind the top eight. Of course, the gap is small, but not very pleasant, especially considering that in recent matches the team has shown unstable results and could not get on a winning streak. Let us recall that on their home ice, the Novosibirsk team dealt with Barys (2:0), then lost to Minsk Dynamo (4:5). After an away defeat to Salavat (1:3), they finally pulled themselves together and proved their superiority over Kunlun in a tough fight with a score of 7:5.
In the final match before the break, the "snowmen" almost gave up two points to their opponents, as they had a three-goal advantage, but conceded three goals in a row in the second period. Overall, the second period is not going well for the "snowflakes", and at the moment they have a 26:30 ratio in goals scored and conceded.
Also, throughout the season, Vadim Epanchintsev team has had difficulties playing in attack, so in many matches, as a rule, they end up with two goals scored. But the team plays well in 5x3 and 5x4 formats and ranks first in this indicator in the league, with 29.5% of extra man conversions. However, recently, Sibir has slowed down in this aspect, since it used to use the numerical advantage much more strongly.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are currently no injured or disqualified players on the roster.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sibir gets 6.81 penalty minutes per match
On average, Novosibirsk players are sent off no more than three times per game
- The Snowmen currently have a 77.9% neutralization rate on the opponent power play
"Sibir" occupies one of the last lines in the championship in this indicator
Avangard Omsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Avangard has finally managed to climb into the playoff zone and has secured eighth place in the Eastern Conference. However, it is unclear how long the club will be able to remain in the top eight, as it has been showing inconsistent results throughout the season and usually cannot secure more than two victories in a row. Nevertheless, the team went into the break in a good mood, as after losses to Avtomobilist (2:4) and Severstal (2:4), it pulled itself together and literally crushed Sochi (6:0) at home, and also took revenge on the Yekaterinburg team with a score of 4:2.
It should be noted that the acting head coach, Andrei Podkonitsky, led the Hawks out for the last two games, since Sergei Zvyagin had previously been fired from this post. Incidentally, the club has already decided on a new coach and signed a contract with Canadian Guy Boucher. True, after one training session, the specialist was forced to return to Canada for personal reasons, but after "completion of procedures" he should return to Omsk again.
If we talk about Omsk away play, this year they have been performing rather poorly on foreign courts. Thus, in 13 away games, Avangard was able to win only two victories in regulation time and scored an average of 1.85 goals per game, which is a weak indicator. But in the majority, the team is acting very decently and already has a 25.6% implementation rate.
Disqualifications and injuries
Boykov, Grant and Stepanov will not play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Avangard gets six minutes of penalty time per match
The Hawks typically get sent off three times a game.
- Omsk has 28:32 in goals scored and goals conceded in the third period
Avangard is playing more effectively in the third period than in the other periods
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches between the clubs, the first period was unscoring
1.62Bet 3rd period: Omsk will score
In four out of five matches, the visitors scored in the third period
1.57Tip and bets
Avangard has been showing good results lately and looked clearly better than Sibir. If the Omsk team hasn't lost form during the break, then they should certainly earn two points in this match, even though the Hawks have been mediocre on the road this season. The Novosibirsk team plays poorly against such opponents even on their home court. In addition, the last match between the clubs ended in favor of the visitors.
Prediction - Avangard win with handicap (0) for 1.70
Bet on individual total
"Sibir" often has problems with creating and implementing moments and ends up with less than three goals scored. In three previous meetings out of five, the team also could not open the opponents' defense more than twice. In addition, in four matches out of five against "Avangard", the Novosibirsk team did not score three times. We think that after the break, it will also be difficult for the "snowmen" to "join" the game and play well in attack.
We bet on the individual total of "Siberia" under 2.5 goals for 1.60
Total Bet
The match between the teams promises to be a tense struggle, which is why it is unlikely to be productive. Avangard managed with a small number of missed pucks in previous matches. In addition, three of the last four matches between the clubs ended with five or fewer goals. The clubs will definitely not take unnecessary risks this time, especially after the break, so we suggest betting on the total under.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks for 1.50
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