LiontipsBorussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim. Prediction and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
Dortmund have not won three matches in a row, although their schedule has been difficult in this period. In the Bundesliga, they drew with Bayern (1:1) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (1:1), and lost to Barcelona (2:3) in the Champions League. In the championship standings, the Bumblebees are in ninth place, with 21 points. The result, of course, could have been much better, but the team plays too poorly on the road - only two points scored. At the same time, on their home field in the Bundesliga, Nuri Şahin charges scored 19 points and are the best home team in the national championship.
Disqualifications and injuries
Borussia has serious problems with its squad, the team is left without central defenders. Anton, Schlotterbeck and Süle will not play today due to injuries. The appearance of Rüerson, Brandt and Bayer on the field is all in question.
Interesting trends for betting
- Borussia have scored at least two goals in eight of their last nine Bundesliga home games
- In five of Borussia previous six home league games, both teams have scored goals
Estimated line-up: Kobel - Gross, Gian, Bancebaini, Kouto - Sabitzer, Nmecha, Reina - Malen, Guirassy, Gittens.
Current form
Hoffenheim have changed their coach, but Christian Ilzer is unable to produce positive results straight away. In the last five rounds, the "village boys" have only beaten Leipzig in a bright home match (4:3). In the previous match, there was a 1:1 draw with Freiburg. In the standings, the team is only in modest 14th place. The position in the Europa League is also not the most joyful - six points scored and an intermediate 26th place outside the playoff zone. The day before, they failed to beat FCSB at home (0:0).
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Kabak, Lenz, Becker, Promel, Grillitsch, Tohumcu, Bülter and Bebu will not play in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- In the last three matches, Hoffenheim played a draw in the first half with an exact score of 0:0
- The team has not won in their previous six away matches in the Bundesliga (three draws and three defeats)
Tentative line-up: Baumann - Gendre, Chaves, Akpoguma, Prass - Stach, Samassekou - Bischof, Kramaric, Bruun Larsen - Glozek.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the last five head-to-head meetings, goals were not scored in either half.
1.98Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
The bet has won in three of the previous five head-to-head matches
1.71Bet Exact score 2:1
Five of Borussia previous six head-to-head victories have been won by a one-goal margin
8.30Tip and bets
Borussia has an advantage in class, plays on its home field, where it scores the lion share of points during the season. Undoubtedly, the "bumblebees" have a good chance of winning, but it is unlikely that they will be able to win easily and with a difference of several goals today, given the personnel losses and the fact that all the main central defenders are out of action. Hoffenheim, under the new coach, is still in search of its game, but is quite capable of putting up a decent fight. Moreover, in ten previous personal meetings, it has only lost once with a difference of more than one goal.
Our prediction is a victory for Hoffenheim with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.76
Bet on total
In the last matches it was possible to see that not everything works out for Borussia in attack. The Bumblebees did not score more than two goals in the three previous matches. It is unlikely that they will be able to defeat Hoffenheim today.
The second bet is Borussia individual total under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.70
Bet on the first half
The opponents are not used to forcing events on the field. The exact score of 0:0 was in the first half in three previous matches of Hoffenheim and in two matches of Borussia. We believe that today there is a high probability of a draw in the opening 45 minutes
Prediction - draw in the first half with odds of 2.85
