LiontipsAtletico Madrid vs Getafe. Prediction and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Atletico Madrid secured their 10th successive win with a 3-1 win at Slovan Bratislava in a European clash on Wednesday. That run includes five wins in La Liga, the latest of which was a thrilling encounter against Sevilla, which Madrid won despite trailing 3-1 after the hour mark. The Red and Whites’ strength has been on display throughout this La Liga campaign and this success took their points tally from a losing position to 12 – the hosts’ comeback wins are second only to Manchester City in Europe’s big five leagues heading into the weekend.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lemar will not be able to take to the football field (injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Atletico Madrid Antoine Griezmann has scored in his last five games and is confident of continuing that streak, having netted five times against Getafe last season to take his career tally to 12
- Atletico are stunningly unbeaten in their last 25 head-to-head matches against Getafe
Estimated lineup: Moldovan - Zubeldia, Lemar, Witsel, Lino - Koke, de Paul, Gomez, Riquelmy - Griezmann, Sorlot
Current form
Getafe will be keen to pick up points as their form has also improved significantly, with the visitors winning four of their last five matches. Two of those wins came in La Liga, helping them to move clear of the dreaded bottom three, and there is no shame in the lone defeat, which came just outside the Estadio Metropolitano at Real Madrid. However, the result means the Blues have now won just one of their last 17 top-flight away games, having failed to score in nine of their last 13.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mauro Arambarri (ankle injury), Carles Aleña (muscle injury), Stefan Mitrovic (doubtful, knee injury) will not be able to take part in the match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Getafe have only had more than 2.5 goals scored in one La Liga game this season, the lowest in Europe big five leagues
- Alvaro Rodriguez looks set to be the difference maker for the visitors as his two goals this season have been both openers and winners
Probable lineup: Soria - Damian Suarez, Djene, Alderate, Angel - Maksimovic, Alvarez, Milla, Christopher - Enes Unal, Mayoral
Trends
Bet Exact score 3:1
Four of the last six head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – no
In 3 of Atletico last 5 matches, goals were scored in the same half
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
We expect a high-scoring game in this match, as both teams have motivation and attacking potential. Atletico are traditionally strong at home, scoring at least twice in the last five matches on their home field, and will be looking to strengthen their position in the table. Getafe, on the other hand, demonstrates a weak defensive game, which is especially noticeable in matches against top clubs, where they have conceded more than two goals in three of the last four away games. Head-to-head meetings between these teams are also often productive - in four of the last six matches, the total was over 2.5 goals. Given the form of the leaders of the Indians' attack and the guests' problems in defense, we expect the game to end with three or more goals scored.
Forecast - total over 2.5 goals with odds of 2.12
Bet on the outcome
Atletico Madrid are clear favourites heading into the match against Getafe, with excellent home form and a top-class squad. Diego Simeone men have been playing reliably, especially at home, where they have won six of their last seven matches, scoring at least twice. Getafe, on the other hand, have struggled in away games, losing four of their last five by at least two goals. Given the difference in class, experience and motivation, we expect a confident victory for the hosts.
Forecast - Asian handicap (-1.5) on Atletico for 1.98
Bet on corners
Matches involving Atletico and Getafe often feature a high number of corners, especially when the opposition is focused on defence and counter-attacking. Four of the last five head-to-head encounters have seen at least 10 corners. Given Atletico attacking strength and their desire to create chances, we can expect a similar scenario tonight.
Forecast - total corners over 9.5 for 1.87
