LiontipsAlaves vs. Athletic. Forecast (odds 3.10) and bets on the Spanish Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
Alaves are hovering above the relegation zone and must be concerned about the form of their upcoming opponents from Bilbao on Matchday 17 in La Liga. On a run of five games without a win in all competitions, the Glorious Ones at least avoided defeat in new coach Eduardo Coudet’s debut league game, drawing 2-2 at Osasuna. The new coach admitted he was impressed, saying “the players have sacrificed themselves” since his arrival, but given they have lost more away games in La Liga than any other team (seven), he will be happy to bring his team back to their homeland.
Disqualifications and injuries
Novoa Ramos will not be able to take to the football field today (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Alaves have lost half of their league games after scoring first this season
- According to this indicator, after the first goal scored, the "glorious ones" won twice and lost twice
- Alaves have won seven of their last ten head-to-head encounters
Probable lineup: Sivera - Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay - Guevara, Blanco, Benavides, Romero, Rioja - Garcia
Current form
Athletic Bilbao continues to demonstrate stable play, despite the high density of matches and some personnel losses. The team under the leadership of Ernesto Valverde confidently holds on to the top of the La Liga table, thanks to which it retains its status as one of the main contenders for European Cup places. After a recent draw with Mallorca (1:1) and a victory over Cadiz (2:0), the club demonstrates that it is capable of playing successfully both at home and away. The main feature of the Basques' game remains a reliable defense and confident implementation of moments in attack.
Nico Williams continues to prove himself as one of the team’s leaders, providing creativity and pace on the flanks. His partnership with Muniain and Iñaki Williams makes Athletic’s attacking line extremely dangerous for opponents. Although Athletic are unbeaten on the road in their last four matches, away consistency remains an area of growth for the team. Maintaining concentration against Alaves, who have traditionally been strong at home, will be an important factor. Ernesto Valverde will likely rely on a balance between attack and defence to secure the all-important three points.
Injuries and disqualifications
The club will be without Unai Simon (injured), Ojan Sunset (thigh injury) and Alex Berenguer, who continues his recovery .
Interesting trends for betting
- Athletic have not lost their last four away games
- Athletic have not conceded in head-to-head encounters since 2020, winning their last three matches 2-0
- Inaki Williams was Athletic UEFA Europa League hero in midweek, scoring twice and also netting in his side head-to-head victory last season
Probable lineup: Padilla - Rincon, Eguerazabal, Vivian, Lecue - De Marcos, Vesga, Garcia - Muniain, Williams, Inaki Williams
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.76Bet Exact score 1:1
Two of the last ten head-to-head matches ended with this score
12.55Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 2 of Alaves' last 4 matches
1.99Penalty Bet - No
In four of the last six head-to-head matches, no penalties were awarded
1.25Tip and bets
The match between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao promises to be a tense one, as both teams are in need of points. The home team always has extra motivation, especially against regional rivals, but their defence leaves much to be desired, as confirmed by recent results. Athletic, on the other hand, scores consistently, but is not always reliable in defence away from home. We expect the opponents to start looking for their chances in attack from the first minutes, especially considering the importance of every moment. This creates excellent conditions for exchanging goals, despite possible problems in implementation.
Our prediction is both teams to score, and we are betting on it at odds of 2.10
Bet on the outcome
The clash between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao is not expected to be dominated by one side or the other. Both teams have strengths and weaknesses, but the match promises to be evenly matched. The hosts have the advantage of their home field, while the visitors demonstrate stability in key moments. We believe that both clubs will try to avoid mistakes and get at least one point in this important match, which makes a draw the most likely outcome.
The forecast is a draw and we bet on it with odds of 3.10
Bet on total corners
The game promises to be a busy battle for the ball, especially in the center of the field, where both teams will try to impose their advantage. However, you shouldn't expect an abundance of corners: Alaves and Athletic are not traditionally leaders in this indicator. Moreover, in recent head-to-head meetings, the teams rarely exceeded the mark of 8-9 corners per match.
Forecast - total under 8.5 corners with odds of 1.85
