Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: Prediction and Betting Odds 4.50
Rayo Vallecano will play the next round on December 14 at their home Vallecas. Do the "giants" have a chance in this confrontation against their fellow countrymen from Real? Our experts have assessed the teams' chances and prepared the most optimal bets on the game. In addition, our star experts Igor Semshov and Alexander Mostovoy shared their opinions on the upcoming duel

Command Analysis

Rayo Vallecano

Current form
Rayo Vallecano face a tough challenge in La Liga as they host leaders Real Madrid. Iñigo Pérez’s side are looking to regain confidence after a string of inconsistent performances. The Madrid club have suffered two 2-1 defeats in recent games, against Barcelona and Espanyol, despite opening the scoring in both games. The slump contrasts with a promising start to the season, which has seen https://www.rayovallecano.es target=_blank rel=noopener>Rayo pick up four points from two away games.
The manager has used the international break to rectify the problems, focusing on tactical nuances. One source of inspiration could be the debut of star James Rodriguez, who could play a key role in attack. However, winning at home will be difficult, given that the team has won just three of its last 18 home league games.
Disqualifications and injuries
Espino (injury), Hernandez (injury) and Mendes (injury) will not be able to take to the football field
Interesting trends for betting
- Rayo have lost three of their last four matches at their stadium, which could be a key factor
- The team has only won one of its last six matches against Real Madrid, indicating the difficulty of the task ahead
- Despite the overall decline, Rayo are among six La Liga teams who have not lost a match after leading at half-time
Probable line-up: Cardenas - Lejeune, Ratiu, Mumin, Chevaria - Ciss, Lopez, Embarba, Trejo - Nteko, Rodriguez.

Real Madrid

Current form
Real Madrid emerged victorious from a tense UEFA Champions League game against Atlante in midweek, winning 3-2 with Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior all scoring. Mbappe left the pitch early with an injury, adding to the problems for the reigning La Liga champions, but that will be offset by the return of Vinicius, who is undoubtedly a big boost for Carlo Ancelotti side.
The problems remain at the back, where key defenders remain missing, although they did well enough to keep a clean sheet in the 3-0 win over Girona last weekend. Two points behind Barcelona with a game in hand, the title race is heating up and there could be more entertainment at stake after Los Blancos have scored exactly three goals in each of their last four away league games.
Disqualifications and injuries
David Alaba (knee injury), Dani Carvajal (ankle injury), Thibaut Courtois (muscle injury) and Federico Valverde (back injury) will be out today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Real Madrid remain the only team to have not conceded a goal before half-time in La Liga home games this season
- Four of the last five head-to-head meetings have ended in a draw at half-time
- Visiting manager Ancelotti singled out the "spectacular" Dani Ceballos after the win over Atalanta and Vallecano have every reason to fear him, having set up Rodrigo goal in his last game against them in May 2023
Estimated line-up: Lunin – Rudiger, Militao, Mendiliba, Ferland Mendy – Tchouameni, Modric, Bellingham – Mbappe, Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in both halves
1.93Bet Exact score 1:3
The hosts have finished two of their last ten head-to-head matches with this score
8.55Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option took place in 2 of the last 4 away matches
1.74Bet Number 1 in the score
This bet took place in the last four matches of the guests
1.69Tip and bets
Real Madrid have traditionally shown a high level of attacking play, especially against weaker opponents such as Rayo Vallecano. The team has world-class players such as Vinicius and Rodrygo, who can create many dangerous moments. Despite the fact that Rayo Vallecano plays attacking football, their defense is often vulnerable against stronger opponents. In recent matches, the team has a tendency to concede goals.
When facing strong clubs, Rayo often makes mistakes that the Los Blancos can effectively use. The Madrid team often dominates the ball control and creates a large number of scoring opportunities. At the same time, their defense does not always act stably, which can lead to an exchange of goals. In recent meetings between these teams, the total was often over 2.5 goals, which also supports this assumption. Thus, the match can be productive, with several goals from both sides.
Our forecast is total over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.94
Bet on the outcome
Real Madrid have a much stronger squad, which allows them to easily control the game, even when they play away. The club has players who can decide the outcome of the match at any moment, such as Vinicius, Rodrygo. Despite the strong squad, the team often wins with a small advantage, especially if they do not strive for a crushing victory in the match, for example, taking into account the upcoming important matches.
Madrid can control the game and avoid excessive physicality, winning by a comfortable but not too large margin. Although Rayo can surprise with their tenacity, Real are unlikely to pull off a major rout. They are more likely to aim for a confident but not exhausting win with minimal losses, which often leads to a result with a two-goal difference.
Forecast - Real Madrid win by two goals and we bet on it for 4.50
Bet on corners
Real Madrid traditionally play attacking football, often creating a lot of scoring chances, which are accompanied by a large number of corners. This is especially true if the Los Blancos dominate the attack and try to use the flanks to break through. Rayo Vallecano will also not escape attacks from a stronger opponent, and playing on counterattacks through the flanks can lead to a large number of corners. In conditions of intense attacks, both teams can earn corners in the case of blocked shots, ricochets or breakthroughs, which will create many set pieces.
Forecast - total corners over nine. This option can be found for 1.72