LiontipsCalgary vs. Tampa Bay. NHL match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Calgary is in ninth place in the West, although not long ago the Canadians were among the eight best clubs in the conference. Ryan Huskey charges have 33 points after 29 games, but they lost a huge number of points in the second half of November and the beginning of winter, which worsened their situation. The Flames played well in the last series of games on home ice and after a victory over Columbus (3:0) were close to a victory over St. Louis (3:4, OT). Before returning to the province of Alberta, Mikael Backlund squad was routed in Texas by Dallas (2:6) and a day later celebrated success in Tennessee, beating Nashville (4:3). The Flames came back three times during the match against the Predators and snatched victory, scoring in the majority.
Daniel Vladar is gradually displacing Dustin Wolf as the team starting goalie. The Czech goalie has stopped 89.76% of shots in his own territory and made two shutouts in 15 games. Calgary is very dependent on the ice and allows only 2.21 goals on average at home. In the five previous games, the hosts have been hit by a projectile 18 times.
The Canadian team remains one of the lowest scoring teams in the conference and the entire league. Not a single Flames player is among the top 100 scorers in the NHL. Jonathan Huberdeau has become the leader in points scored. He has been involved in his team goals in the last five games and has 19 points (10+9) this season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Anthony Mantha and Justin Kirkland will not take part in the upcoming fight. Ryan Lomberg has not yet confirmed his condition.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Calgary allows at least 29 shots per game to its opponents.
The "Lights" play on counterattacks, so it is not surprising that the opponent, acting first number, often makes more shots
- Calgary gets 9.17 penalty minutes
The Flames are statistically penalized at least four times per game.
Current form
Tampa Bay is not flying out of the playoff zone, although the Lightning can play much better. The Lightning occupy only the eighth place in the East, having 30 points after 26 starts. In general, the guests should be in sixth place in the conference, because competitors in the person of Boston and the Rangers have played a couple of matches more than John Cooper charges. Victor Hedman squad began the winter with a defeat to Toronto (3:5) at home, but after a short break, the club from the state of Florida tore apart San Jose (8:1). In the current away series, Tampa won in Vancouver (4:2), but two days later they could not cope with Edmonton (1:2). The Canadians neutralized the leaders of the opponent and did not allow many shots to be made on the possessions of Stuart Skinner.
The Lightning are among the top five scoring teams in the conference. Tampa Bay scores 3.81 times per game on average, with home and away goals being about the same. Nikita Kucherov remains the visiting team leading scorer and has 38 points (13+25) this season. Given his recent injury, the Russian should be slightly higher, but he is currently ranked ninth in the league in this component.
Andrei Vasilevskiy started 22 games and only kept two clean sheets. The Lightning goalie saved 90.99% of the shots he faced and allowed Jonas Johansson to appear on the ice only five times.
Disqualifications and injuries
The visiting leaders will arrive in Canada this Friday, with the participation of Eric Cernak and Anthony Cirelli still in question.
Interesting trends for betting
- Tampa Bay throws more than 28 times per game
The visitors do not try to shoot from any position and often this strategy brings the Lightning the desired result.
- Lightning are averaging more than 16 hits per game
John Cooper team doesn't like contact hockey and gives their opponents a lot of space.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In four of Tampa five games, there has not been more than one goal scored in the first period.
2.02Bet 2nd period: Tampa will not score
Calgary hasn't conceded a goal in the second 20 minutes at home in three straight games.
2.80Tip and bets
Calgary is much better at home and has dropped only seven points this season in Alberta. Ryan Huskey team is very reliable on the ice at Scotiabank Saddledome Arena, scoring more than three goals per game on average. Tampa is a bit lacking in consistency, although the Florida club has been doing well on offense throughout the regular season. Andrei Vasilevskiy does not always save his teammates and should give the hosts a chance to win. We think that the Canadians will get two points in this matchup.
Prediction - Calgary win with Asian handicap (0) for 2.30
Bet on individual total
Calgary plays great defense and almost never concede at home. The Canadians have allowed their opponents to score only ten goals in their seven previous home games. Ryan Huskey men will try to tie their opponents' hands and feet this time and not let Tampa easily enter the attack zone. Let bet on the total under the guests.
We take Tampa individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.62
Total Bet
Most games involving Calgary are not productive. The team from the province of Alberta plays with an eye on its own goal and rarely allows opponents to freely dispose of the puck in its own zone. Tampa Bay is not like the hosts in terms of style of play, but in the last match against Edmonton, the visitors got stuck in the Canadians' defense and did not realize their potential in attack. In our opinion, the upcoming meeting will be similar. We take the total under goals.
We bet on total under 6.5 goals for 1.60
