LiontipsAtletico - Slovan Bratislava. Prediction (odds 4.30) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
After five rounds, Atletico is not in the coveted top eight, sitting in 15th place on the eve of the start of the sixth stage. However, the gap from the top 8 is only one point, so the chances of reaching the playoffs straight away in the 1/8 finals are quite good.
In the previous round, the "mattress makers" played away to Sparta Prague and had no problems - a 6:0 victory. In fact, much of that match was decided in the first half, when the visitors scored two goals. Before this quite expected victory, Atletico had a difficult away game in Paris against PSG, where they managed to win with a score of 2:1. The winning goal was scored by Correa in the added time of the second half. Today, they will return to their home arena, where Diego Simeone charges have only had one defeat, taking into account all tournaments. It happened in the third round of the Champions League against Lille (1:3).
In Primera, https://www.atleticodemadrid.com target=_blank rel=noopener>Atletico have a five-game winning streak and are third with 35 points. Real Madrid are ahead by one point. They are three points behind leaders Barcelona, but the Catalans have played a match more. In the last round, the Madrid team managed to beat Sevilla with a score of 4:3.
Disqualifications and injuries
Only Lemar will not play today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Atletico winning streak in all competitions is nine matches
- In the two previous matches, the "mattress makers" lost in the first half
- Atletico have scored at least three goals in their last eight games
Tentative lineup: Oblak - Llorente, Jimenez, Lenglet, Galan - Simeone, Barrios, De Paul, Gallagher - Serlot, Alvarez.
Current form
Slovan was initially considered by both bookmakers and experts to be among the main outsiders of the tournament and could not call this status into question. The Slovaks lost all five matches in the Champions League with a total score of 4:18. Only Young Boys, who are at the bottom of the rating, have a worse goal difference.
Vladimir Weiss charges were able to impose the most intense fight in the last round at home against Milan (2:3). In that match after the first half the score was even 1:1, but still the difference in class had an effect. Slovan suffered all other defeats with a handicap of at least two goals.
In the Slovakian championship, the team is usually in the lead after 17 rounds. However, they have not managed to create a more or less decent gap. Behind them, at a distance of only one point, is Žilina, to which Slovan lost in the last round on the road with a score of 1:2. In total, in the national championship, the team won 13 matches, lost twice and played a draw.
Disqualifications and injuries
Midfielder Marko Tolic will serve a suspension. Vojtko will miss the match due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- In four of the last five matches, Slovan did not win in the first half
- Five of Slovan previous six Champions League matches have seen at least four goals scored
- Both teams have scored goals in five of Slovakia previous seven Champions League matches.
Estimated lineup: Takacs - Kashia, Bajric, Vut - Blackman, Savvidis, Kutska, Medvedev - Barseghyan, Strelets, Metsoko.
Trends
Bet Total Yellow Cards Atletico Over 1.5
Atletico players have received at least two yellow cards in 10 of their last 12 Champions League home games
2.03Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in three of Atletico last five matches
1.90Bet Exact score 4:1
Atletico have won nine games in a row
8.70Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In three of Slovan last four matches, goals were scored in each half
1.61Bet Total corners over 9.5
Atletico have had at least 10 corners in seven of their last nine home Champions League games
1.70Tip and bets
Throughout the tournament, it is noticeable that Slovan is not up to par with many of its Champions League opponents in terms of play and squad. There is no point in expecting the Slovaks to dramatically improve their game and surprise the "mattress makers" in Madrid. Moreover, Atletico is on a roll, on a nine-win streak in all tournaments, and has no problems in attack. In the previous round of the Champions League, Diego Simeone team thrashed Sparta in Prague with a score of 6:0, and we will not be very surprised if today there is a victory in the same style.
Our prediction is Atletico victory with an Asian handicap (-2.5) at odds of 1.75
Bet on total
During the season, Atletico has repeatedly demonstrated that we are no longer facing a team that relies solely on defense. The "mattress makers" boldly move forward, trying to develop an advantage, not to hold on to it. Plus, today opponents are Slovan, which has big problems in defense. There is a high probability that the game will be productive.
The second bet is total over 3.5 goals with odds of 1.81
Bet on the exact difference in the score
Atletico have a noticeable advantage in class and are unlikely to limit themselves to a minimal victory, especially since the attacking game is currently underway. We expect the hosts to win with a comfortable advantage of three goals.
Prediction: Atletico win by three goals with odds of 4.30
